Authoritarianism, democracy and de/Centralization in federations: what connections?

Paolo Dardanelli, John Kincaid, Katharine Adeney, Lorena Moscovich, Juan Cruz Olmeda, Rogerio Schlegel, Rotimi Suberu, Filippo Boni, Santiago Lacroix Eussler
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Abstract

What is the impact of democracy/authoritarianism regime change on de/centralization in federations? Based on the annual coding of three politico-institutional aspects, 22 policy fields, and five fiscal categories, this article maps de/centralization in Argentina, Brazil, Mexico, Nigeria and Pakistan from the establishment of their respective federal orders to 2020. It shows that de/centralization varies greatly across its different dimensions as well as between systems, with centralization being the dominant long-term trend but with significant exceptions, notably Pakistan. Regime change plays a major role in de/centralization but not always in line with the usual expectation that authoritarian regimes centralize and democratic ones decentralize. Other factors that cut across the authoritarianism/democracy divide, notably ideological orientations, have substantial impacts on de/centralization. By investigating long-run patterns of de/centralization in federations that have experienced democracy/authoritarianism regime change, the article sheds light on how federalism operates beyond consolidated democracies.
联邦中的威权主义、民主和去中心化:什么联系?
民主/威权主义政权更迭对联邦去中心化/集权化的影响是什么?基于对三个政治制度方面、22个政策领域和5个财政类别的年度编码,本文绘制了阿根廷、巴西、墨西哥、尼日利亚和巴基斯坦从各自联邦法令建立到2020年的去中心化地图。它表明,去中心化在不同方面以及不同制度之间差别很大,中心化是主要的长期趋势,但也有明显的例外,特别是巴基斯坦。政权更迭在去中心化中扮演着重要角色,但并不总是与通常的预期一致,即威权政权集中,民主政权分散。跨越威权主义/民主鸿沟的其他因素,特别是意识形态取向,对去中心化/集权化产生了重大影响。通过调查经历民主/专制政权更迭的联邦中去中心化/集权化的长期模式,本文揭示了联邦制如何在巩固的民主之外运作。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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