Invasion trends: An interpretable measure of change is needed to support policy targets

IF 7.7 1区环境科学与生态学 Q1 BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION

Conservation Letters Pub Date : 2023-10-10 DOI:10.1111/conl.12981

Melodie A. McGeoch, Yehezkel Buba, Eduardo Arlé, Jonathan Belmaker, David A. Clarke, Walter Jetz, Richard Li, Hanno Seebens, Franz Essl, Quentin Groom, Emili García‐Berthou, Bernd Lenzner, Carsten Meyer, Joana R. Vicente, John R. U. Wilson, Marten Winter

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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Abstract The Kunming‐Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework (GBF) calls for a 50% reduction in rates of invasive alien species establishment by 2030. However, estimating changes in rates of introduction and establishment is far from straightforward, particularly on a national scale. Variation in survey effort over time, the absence of data on survey effort, and aspects of the invasion process itself interact in ways that make rate estimates from naive models of invasion trends inaccurate. To support progress toward robust global and national reporting against the GBF invasions target, we illustrate this problem using a combination of simulations, and global and national scale case studies. We provide recommendations and a clear set of steps that are needed for progress. These include routine collection of survey effort data as part of surveillance and monitoring protocols and working closely with researchers to develop meaningful estimates of change in biological invasions. Better awareness of this challenge and investment in developing robust approaches will be required from Parties if progress on Target 6 of the GBF is to be tracked and achieved.

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入侵趋势:需要一种可解释的变化衡量标准来支持政策目标

昆明-蒙特利尔全球生物多样性框架(GBF)呼吁到2030年将外来入侵物种的建立率降低50%。然而，估计引进和建立比率的变化远非直截了当，特别是在国家范围内。随着时间的推移，调查工作的变化，调查工作数据的缺乏，以及入侵过程本身的各个方面以某种方式相互作用，使得从入侵趋势的幼稚模型中得出的速率估计不准确。为了支持针对GBF入侵目标的强大的全球和国家报告的进展，我们使用模拟的组合以及全球和国家规模的案例研究来说明这个问题。我们提供了取得进展所需的建议和一套明确的步骤。这些措施包括定期收集调查工作数据，作为监测和监测协议的一部分，并与研究人员密切合作，对生物入侵的变化进行有意义的估计。如果要跟踪和实现GBF目标6的进展，就需要缔约方更好地认识这一挑战，并在制定强有力的办法方面进行投资。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Conservation Letters BIODIVERSITY CONSERVATION-

CiteScore

13.50

自引率

2.40%

发文量

审稿时长

>12 weeks

期刊介绍： Conservation Letters is a reputable scientific journal that is devoted to the publication of both empirical and theoretical research that has important implications for the conservation of biological diversity. The journal warmly invites submissions from various disciplines within the biological and social sciences, with a particular interest in interdisciplinary work. The primary aim is to advance both pragmatic conservation objectives and scientific knowledge. Manuscripts are subject to a rapid communication schedule, therefore they should address current and relevant topics. Research articles should effectively communicate the significance of their findings in relation to conservation policy and practice.