Weapons and technology: the economics of Augustine weapons systems

Keith Hartley
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Abstract

Augustine weapons systems are a new class of weapons which are high technology and costly with their unit costs rising between successive generations reflected in inter-generational cost escalation. They have potential for revolutionary change in a nation’s armed forces and defence industries. In the same time frame, another new technology is emerging in the form of cheap drones replacing manned aircraft. Both of these new technologies are assessed in terms of their likely impact on military forces and defence industries. Augustine weapons systems are defined and their substitution effects are identified. There will be opposite effects on industry output, with costly Augustine systems bought in smaller quantities and cheap drones in larger volumes. Evidence is presented on cost escalation for a sample of UK fighter aircraft.
武器与技术:奥古斯丁武器系统的经济学
奥古斯丁武器系统是一类技术含量高、造价高的新型武器,其单位成本在世代之间不断上升,表现为代际成本上升。它们有可能给一个国家的武装力量和国防工业带来革命性的变化。与此同时,另一项新技术正在以廉价无人机取代有人驾驶飞机的形式出现。这两项新技术都是根据它们对军事力量和国防工业的可能影响进行评估的。定义了奥古斯丁武器系统,并确定了它们的替代效应。这将对工业产出产生相反的影响,昂贵的奥古斯丁系统将被少量购买,而廉价的无人机将大量购买。证据提出了成本上升的一个样本的英国战斗机。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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