The Effect of Risk Assessment Scores on Judicial Behavior and Defendant Outcomes

IF 5.3 1区经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS

Journal of Human Resources Pub Date : 2023-05-08 DOI:10.3368/jhr.0221-11470r3

CarlyWill Sloan, George Naufal, Heather Caspers

引用次数: 0

Abstract

Risk assessment has been increasingly adopted in an effort to reduce pretrial detention for poor, low-risk defendants. This paper examines the impact of risk assessment using administrative data from a large Texas County. We identify effects using a regression discontinuity that exploits the overnight implementation of a risk assessment policy. Results indicate this led to a 6.5 percent increase in nonfinancial bond and an 8.5 percent decrease in pretrial detention, though neither effect persisted beyond two months. Additionally, the policy did not increase violent pretrial crime, though there is some suggestive evidence of increases in nonviolent pretrial crime.

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风险评估得分对司法行为和被告结果的影响

风险评估越来越多地用于减少对贫困、低风险被告的审前羁押。本文使用来自德克萨斯州一个大县的行政数据来检验风险评估的影响。我们使用回归不连续来识别影响，该不连续利用风险评估政策的隔夜实施。结果表明，这导致非金融债券增加了6.5%，审前拘留减少了8.5%，尽管这两种效果都没有持续超过两个月。此外，该政策并没有增加审前暴力犯罪，尽管有一些暗示的证据表明非暴力审前犯罪有所增加。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Journal of Human Resources Multiple-

CiteScore

7.00

自引率

1.90%

发文量

期刊介绍： The Journal of Human Resources is among the leading journals in empirical microeconomics. Intended for scholars, policy makers, and practitioners, each issue examines research in a variety of fields including labor economics, development economics, health economics, and the economics of education, discrimination, and retirement. Founded in 1965, the Journal of Human Resources features articles that make scientific contributions in research relevant to public policy practitioners.