Can ODA Enhance Economic Development? Special Research on Australian Fund for the Growth Effectiveness in Laos

Soulivanh Chansombuth
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Abstract

In Laos, ODA from Australia pays over USD 40 million each year in the field of educational improvement. Australia has been assisting and promoting the economy of Laos for several decades, which establishes a good scenario of the two countries’ ties (between Australia and Laos). Firstly, the author examines the relationship between the human development index and economic growth by using a bivariate correlation testing approach of two variables as provided by Pearson and Spearman, and the use of the cointegration method by Johansen test on VECM analysis, this estimation is vital for time series data. In the final finding, there was a result to denote that, education can have a significant relation to enhance economic growth in Lao PDR. Higher education reflects higher economic development by relying on the test result of Pearson with a p-value of .02 and the Spearman test with a p-value of .049, of which the p-value was less than .05. For VECM analysis, the result showed that education in both the long and short run has a negative direction in relation to economic development, in the short run the ODA from Australia showed an opposing direction to growth, but in the long run, such ODA has a positive relation to economic growth with significance. Finally, this paper detailed Laos’ future policy on promoting investment in the field of technological development and innovation; a suitable law and regulation for technological investment should be effectively enacted for ODA in the field of educational improvement, eventually good educational people can build investment and national economic development of Laos.
官方发展援助能促进经济发展吗?澳大利亚老挝增长效益基金专项研究
在老挝,澳大利亚的官方发展援助每年为改善教育领域提供4000多万美元。几十年来,澳大利亚一直在帮助和促进老挝的经济发展,这为两国(澳老)关系建立了良好的局面。首先,作者利用Pearson和Spearman提供的两变量双变量相关检验方法检验了人类发展指数与经济增长之间的关系,并在VECM分析中使用Johansen检验的协整方法,这种估计对时间序列数据至关重要。在最后的发现中,有一个结果表明,教育可以有一个显著的关系,以提高老挝人民民主共和国的经济增长。高等教育反映了较高的经济发展水平,皮尔逊检验的p值为0.02,斯皮尔曼检验的p值为0.049,其中p值小于0.05。通过VECM分析,结果表明教育在长期和短期内与经济发展都呈负向关系,澳大利亚的官方发展援助在短期内与增长方向相反,但在长期内与经济增长呈显著正相关。最后,详细阐述了老挝未来在促进技术开发和创新领域投资方面的政策;在教育改善领域的官方发展援助应有效制定相应的技术投资法律法规,最终使优秀的教育人才为老挝建设投资和国家经济发展。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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