Prediction of mortality in sepsis with biomarkers and qSOFA score combination: An observational study in a tertiary care centre of western India

Puneet Rijhwani, Srishti S. Jain, Pallaavi Goel
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Abstract

Introduction: In any clinical set up, the laboratory biomarkers are very important and can serve in determining the suitable treatment course. In this study, we assumed that considering a combination of biomarkers rather than individual items like lactate, C-reactive protein (CRP) and procalcitonin (PCT) along with qSOFA (quick sequential organ failure assessment) score would be better for predicting 28-day mortality in patients diagnosed with sepsis. Methods: A prospective observational study was conducted in a tertiary care centre in Jaipur, Rajasthan (western India) including 160 participants who were admitted in the intensive care unit (ICU) and diagnosed as sepsis. Detailed history and examination were performed, followed by blood investigations and qSOFA score calculations. Written informed consent was obtained from all participants and institutional ethics committee approval was taken at the beginning of the study. Statistical analysis was done after adequate data collection. Results: Mean CRP [mg/L] was 9±1.41, mean PCT [ng/mL] was 1.6±0.56, mean lactate [mmol/L] was 2.1±1.97 among the study subjects. In this study, specificity (%) of qSOFA+biomarkers (serum lactate, CRP, PCT) was 98.9%, that was more than sensitivity of qSOFA score alone i.e., 40.62%. Although sensitivity (%) of qSOFA was 45.31% that was almost similar to the specificity of qSOFA+biomarkers i.e., 46.8%. Positive predictive value and negative predictive value was also higher in the qSOFA+Biomarker group. Conclusion: The predictive rate of combined method was better than that of qSOFA score alone.
用生物标志物和qSOFA评分组合预测败血症死亡率:印度西部三级保健中心的一项观察性研究
在任何临床设置中,实验室生物标志物都是非常重要的,可以确定合适的治疗过程。在这项研究中,我们假设考虑生物标志物的组合而不是单个项目,如乳酸、c反应蛋白(CRP)和降钙素原(PCT)以及qSOFA(快速顺序器官衰竭评估)评分,将更好地预测诊断为败血症患者的28天死亡率。方法:在拉贾斯坦邦(印度西部)斋浦尔的一家三级护理中心进行了一项前瞻性观察研究,包括160名被诊断为败血症的重症监护病房(ICU)患者。进行详细的病史和检查,随后进行血液调查和qSOFA评分计算。在研究开始时获得了所有参与者的书面知情同意,并获得了机构伦理委员会的批准。在充分收集资料后进行统计分析。结果:研究对象平均CRP [mg/L]为9±1.41,平均PCT [ng/mL]为1.6±0.56,平均乳酸[mmol/L]为2.1±1.97。在本研究中,qSOFA+生物标志物(血清乳酸、CRP、PCT)的特异性(%)为98.9%,高于单独使用qSOFA评分的敏感性40.62%。虽然qSOFA的敏感性(%)为45.31%,但与qSOFA+生物标志物的特异性(46.8%)几乎相似。qSOFA+Biomarker组阳性预测值和阴性预测值也较高。结论:联合方法的预测率优于单独使用qSOFA评分。
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