ENERGY ANALYSIS OF GLOBAL WARMING FEATURES AND ITS CONSEQUENCES

V.V. Tetelmin
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Abstract

The summary table of global warming energy patterns calculated using accumulated natural data accumulated by the world science is presented. The analysis shows that in each successive decade the contribution of positive feedbacks to global warming increases relative to the preceding decade. Each kilowatt hour of energy produced and used by humanity warms our planet through the anthropogenic greenhouse effect by 20 kWh. The functions of dependence of the radiative temperature equilibrium on the content in the atmosphere of the three main greenhouse gases have been derived. We propose functions for the dependence of the amount of accumulated thermal energy in the Earth’s climatic system and the duration of global warming on the content of anthropogenic greenhouse gases in the atmosphere. A forecast of the global sea level rise and the marginal frequency of natural disasters over time is provided. If mankind has halved greenhouse gas emissions by 2050, global warming will progress for about 170 years until it reaches a radiative equilibrium temperature of 4,2° C.
全球变暖特征及其后果的能源分析
提出了利用世界科学界积累的自然数据计算出的全球变暖能量型汇总表。分析表明,在每一个连续十年中,正反馈对全球变暖的贡献相对于前一个十年增加。人类生产和使用的每千瓦时的能源通过人为温室效应使地球变暖20千瓦时。导出了大气中三种主要温室气体含量对辐射温度平衡的依赖函数。我们提出了地球气候系统累积热能量和全球变暖持续时间对大气中人为温室气体含量的依赖函数。提供了一段时间内全球海平面上升和自然灾害边际频率的预报。如果人类到2050年将温室气体排放量减半,全球变暖将持续约170年,直到达到4.2°C的辐射平衡温度。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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