Household survey on climate change and human health in a low-income country: Associations between increased health emergencies and extreme changes in climate in Liberia

Madeline E. Ross, Antoinette H. Wright, Mark Luke, Abraham Tamba, Heounohu Romello Hessou, Stephen Kanneh, Kumeinu Da-Tokpah, Corey B. Bills
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Abstract

Liberia and other low and middle-income countries (LMICs) are particularly vulnerable to climate change. Yet, data on perceived risks of climate change among community residents in these countries are little known. We performed a cross-sectional survey of 800 households selected randomly through multistage cluster sampling from two regionally distinct areas of Liberia. A 91-item English survey was administered by trained research assistants verbally in the respondent’s preferred spoken language. Univariable comparison of climate related questions between the two regions was made by chi-squared analysis. Univariable and multivariable logistic regression modeling was performed to assess the association between known risks and the primary outcome of interest: a self-reported increase in health emergencies due to extreme heat, drought, flooding, wildfires, or other extreme weather events by climate change. Survey respondents were majority male (n = 461, 57.8%) with a mean age of 40.6 years (SD 14.7). Over 65% of households lived on less than 100 USD per month. A majority of respondents reported increased intensity of heat during the dry season (n = 408, 51.0%); increased intensity of rainfall during the rainy season (n = 433, 54.1%), and increased severity in endemic diseases (n = 401, 50.1%) over the past 5–10 years. In multivariable modeling, perceived water and food impacts (OR: 6.79, 95%CI 4.26–10.81; OR: 3.97, 95%CI 2.25–7.03, respectively), unemployment (OR: 3.52, 95%CI 1.89–6.56), and lack of electricity (OR: 2.04, 95%CI: 1.23–3.38) were the strongest predictors of perceived increased health emergencies due to climate change. A significant proportion of households across multiple Liberian communities have already felt the health effects of climate change. Focused efforts on mitigating individual and household risks associated with the increased health effects of climate change is essential.
低收入国家关于气候变化与人类健康的家庭调查:利比里亚突发卫生事件增多与气候极端变化之间的关系
利比里亚和其他低收入和中等收入国家(LMICs)特别容易受到气候变化的影响。然而,这些国家的社区居民对气候变化风险的感知数据却鲜为人知。我们通过多阶段整群抽样从利比里亚两个区域不同的地区随机抽取800户家庭进行了横断面调查。一项91项的英语调查由训练有素的研究助理用被调查者首选的口语口头管理。两地区气候相关问题的单变量比较采用卡方分析。采用单变量和多变量logistic回归模型来评估已知风险与主要结果之间的关联:由于极端高温、干旱、洪水、野火或气候变化引起的其他极端天气事件,自我报告的突发卫生事件增加。调查对象以男性为主(n = 461, 57.8%),平均年龄40.6岁(SD 14.7)。超过65%的家庭每月生活费不足100美元。大多数受访者报告说,干旱季节的热量强度增加(n = 408, 51.0%);过去5-10年,雨季降雨强度增加(n = 433, 54.1%),地方病严重程度增加(n = 401, 50.1%)。在多变量模型中,感知水和食物的影响(OR: 6.79, 95%CI 4.26-10.81;OR: 3.97, 95%CI分别为2.25-7.03)、失业(OR: 3.52, 95%CI为1.89-6.56)和缺电(OR: 2.04, 95%CI为1.23-3.38)是气候变化导致突发卫生事件增加的最强预测因子。利比里亚多个社区中相当大比例的家庭已经感受到气候变化对健康的影响。必须集中努力减轻与气候变化对健康影响增加有关的个人和家庭风险。
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