The impact of monetary and fiscal stimulus on stock returns during the COVID-19 Pandemic

IF 2.9 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS
Chinmaya Behera , Badri Narayan Rath , Pramod Kumar Mishra
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

We contribute to the literature by investigating the impact of monetary and fiscal stimulus and exchange rate on stock returns during the COVID-19 Pandemic in Australia, China, India, and Indonesia. By employing the machine learning approach, We find that monetary stimulus positively boosts the stock return of Indonesia. Contrary, fiscal stimulus adversely affected stock return in Australia. The exchange rate positively impacts stock return for both India and Indonesia during the COVID-19 Pandemic. However, the findings from this study reveal that both monetary and fiscal stimulus have no effect on the stock market return in the case of China and India. Policymakers needs better strategy to counter the extreme events like pandemic. Our model is robust to the alternative model specification.

COVID-19大流行期间货币和财政刺激对股票回报的影响
我们通过调查澳大利亚、中国、印度和印度尼西亚COVID-19大流行期间货币和财政刺激以及汇率对股票回报的影响,为文献做出贡献。通过采用机器学习方法,我们发现货币刺激对印尼股票收益有正向促进作用。相反,财政刺激对澳大利亚的股票回报产生了不利影响。在2019冠状病毒病大流行期间,汇率对印度和印度尼西亚的股票回报都产生了积极影响。然而,本文的研究结果表明,在中国和印度的情况下,货币和财政刺激对股市回报没有影响。决策者需要更好的战略来应对大流行等极端事件。我们的模型对于备选模型规范具有鲁棒性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
4.70
自引率
9.40%
发文量
90
期刊介绍: The Journal of Asian Economics provides a forum for publication of increasingly growing research in Asian economic studies and a unique forum for continental Asian economic studies with focus on (i) special studies in adaptive innovation paradigms in Asian economic regimes, (ii) studies relative to unique dimensions of Asian economic development paradigm, as they are investigated by researchers, (iii) comparative studies of development paradigms in other developing continents, Latin America and Africa, (iv) the emerging new pattern of comparative advantages between Asian countries and the United States and North America.
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