Off-farm income promotes energy transition in the Pan-Third Pole cross-national region

IF 6.4 1区 地球科学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES
Xiao-Qi Zheng , Xiang-Bo Xu , Chang Li , Chao Fu , Zhao-Yuan Fan
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Abstract

The Pan-Third Pole region comprises multiple nations affected by climate vulnerability and energy inequality, wherein promoting energy transitions in rural households would provide a path to combat climate change. Identifying the factors that drive rural household energy consumption and the transition is important. This study performed a micro-survey of 1060 rural households in five countries in the Pan-Third Pole region and empirically analyzed the relationships between off-farm income, energy consumption, and energy transitions. The off-farm income of rural households was found to have a significantly positive effect (p < 0.01) on energy expenditure, indicating that energy expenditure increased with increasing off-farm income. Off-farm income has a significantly positive effect (p < 0.01) on the proportion of commercial energy but a significantly negative effect on the proportion of noncommercial energy. These results indicate that increasing off-farm income can adjust the energy consumption structure of rural households. Furthermore, a robustness check by substituting independent variables, instrumental variable method (IV), and propensity score matching method (PSM) provided strong evidence to prove the robustness of the results. The heterogeneity analysis showed that the effects of off-farm income on energy expenditure and transitions differed among countries, off-farm income had no significant impact on energy expenditure in Cambodia and Myanmar, but it worked for China, Nepal, and Thailand. Finally, policy implications are proposed to promote energy transition in the Pan-Third pole region: providing more full-time or part-time off-farm employment opportunities, employment assistance or skill training by local governments; increasing the pace of infrastructure construction to solve energy inaccessibility; multiple measures to promote the education and environmental knowledge.

非农收入促进泛第三极跨国地区能源转型
泛第三极地区包括受气候脆弱性和能源不平等影响的多个国家,其中促进农村家庭的能源转型将为应对气候变化提供一条途径。确定推动农村家庭能源消费和转型的因素很重要。本研究通过对泛第三极地区5个国家1060户农户的微观调查,实证分析了非农收入、能源消费和能源转型之间的关系。农户非农收入对经济增长具有显著的正向影响(p <0.01),表明能量消耗随非农收入的增加而增加。非农收入具有显著的正向影响(p <0.01)对商业能源比例有显著的负向影响,但对非商业能源比例有显著的负向影响。这些结果表明,增加非农收入可以调节农户能源消费结构。此外,通过替换自变量、工具变量法(IV)和倾向得分匹配法(PSM)进行稳健性检验,有力地证明了结果的稳健性。异质性分析表明,非农收入对能源支出和能源转型的影响在不同国家之间存在差异,柬埔寨和缅甸的非农收入对能源支出没有显著影响,但对中国、尼泊尔和泰国有影响。最后,提出了促进泛第三极地区能源转型的政策建议:地方政府提供更多的全职或兼职非农就业机会、就业援助或技能培训;加快基础设施建设步伐,解决能源不可及问题;采取多种措施促进环境知识教育。
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来源期刊
Advances in Climate Change Research
Advances in Climate Change Research Earth and Planetary Sciences-Atmospheric Science
CiteScore
9.80
自引率
4.10%
发文量
424
审稿时长
107 days
期刊介绍: Advances in Climate Change Research publishes scientific research and analyses on climate change and the interactions of climate change with society. This journal encompasses basic science and economic, social, and policy research, including studies on mitigation and adaptation to climate change. Advances in Climate Change Research attempts to promote research in climate change and provide an impetus for the application of research achievements in numerous aspects, such as socioeconomic sustainable development, responses to the adaptation and mitigation of climate change, diplomatic negotiations of climate and environment policies, and the protection and exploitation of natural resources.
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