Faktor-Faktor Penentu Perdagangan Biji Pala Indonesia

Lina Samhina, Rita Nurmalina, Netti Tinaprilla
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Abstract

The export value of the whole nutmeg and nutmeg powder has increased yearly. Nevertheless, Indonesia's dependence on imports of nutmeg is high. This condition illustrates that Indonesia has not optimally utilized its export opportunities. Optimizing export opportunities can be done by paying attention to the factors that affect exports. Researchers used secondary data on the whole and nutmeg powder from 2012 to 2019 with research variables: Indonesia's GDP, GDP of export destination countries, economic distance, population, and sanitary and phytosanitary (SPS) dummy. The processes of data use a gravity model approach. The results showed that the GDP of both countries and the SPS had a negative effect on trade in the whole nutmeg, while economic distance and population had a positive impact. Meanwhile, the effect on trade in nutmeg powder by Indonesia's GDP, GDP of export destination countries, and the population is positive, economic distance is negative, and the SPS has an insignificant effect. The policy implication is the government and stakeholders should choose trading partners with large populations and make post-harvest handling rules to minimize the impact of SPS barriers. Meanwhile, to increase the trade in nutmeg powder, choosing a trading partner with a high GDP is necessary.
印度尼西亚肉豆蔻贸易的决定因素
整个肉豆蔻和肉豆蔻粉的出口值逐年增加。然而,印尼对进口肉豆蔻的依赖程度很高。这种情况说明印度尼西亚没有充分利用其出口机会。通过关注影响出口的因素,可以优化出口机会。研究人员使用了2012年至2019年整个肉豆蔻粉和肉豆蔻粉的二手数据,研究变量为:印度尼西亚的GDP、出口目的地国的GDP、经济距离、人口以及卫生和植物检疫(SPS)假人。数据处理使用重力模型方法。结果表明,两国的GDP和SPS对整个肉豆蔻贸易有负向影响,而经济距离和人口对整个肉豆蔻贸易有正向影响。同时,印尼GDP、出口目的国GDP、人口对肉豆蔻粉贸易的影响为正,经济距离为负,SPS的影响不显著。政策含义是政府和利益相关者应该选择人口众多的贸易伙伴,并制定收获后处理规则,以尽量减少SPS壁垒的影响。同时,为了增加肉豆蔻粉的贸易,选择一个GDP高的贸易伙伴是必要的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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