The impact of institutional factor on the dynamics of electoral Volatility in Post-Communist Countries of europe

S. L. Chepel
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Abstract

The article examines the influence of the institutional factor on the dynamics of electoral volatility in post- communist European countries. The party and electoral systems were chosen as institutional variables. It is noted that a noticeable influence on the level of electoral mobility in the group of countries under consideration is not segmentation, but polarization of party systems. The author emphasizes that the small ideological distance between the parties competing in the electoral field hinders the formation of stable party identification of voters, which contributes to the growth of electoral volatility. The author comes to the conclusion that the institutional factor as a whole has a limited effect on the dynamics of changing party preferences of voters. Therefore it should be recognized that the factor of political culture continues to have a predominant impact on the electoral behavior of citizens of post-communist European countries.
制度因素对后共产主义欧洲国家选举动荡动态的影响
本文考察了制度因素对后共产主义欧洲国家选举动荡动态的影响。政党和选举制度被选为制度变量。报告指出,对所审议的这组国家的选举流动水平产生显著影响的不是政党制度的分割,而是政党制度的两极化。作者强调,在选举领域竞争的政党之间的意识形态距离较小,阻碍了选民稳定的政党认同的形成,从而助长了选举波动性的增长。作者得出结论,制度因素作为一个整体,对选民政党偏好变化的动态影响有限。因此,应该认识到,政治文化因素继续对后共产主义欧洲国家公民的选举行为产生主要影响。
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