MODERN INTERPRETATION OF SOCIO-ECONOMIC CYCLES: METHODOLOGICAL ASPECTS

Volodymyr Mykhailov, Valentyna Yefimova, Valentyna Nadilko
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Abstract

Cyclicality is a universal and general form of movement of all economic and social processes, regardless of the levels of the economy and society at which they occur. Cyclicality is also a manifestation of one of the mechanisms of market self-regulation. The purpose of the article is a critical review of the main concepts that characterize the cyclical development of socio-economic systems at the macro level and the emphasis of the methodological vision on changing the trajectories of their development under the influence of unpredictable factors of a global scale (natural disasters, droughts, epidemics and, most importantly, wars), in the first place, on the example of modern Ukraine. In the work, from the standpoint of an interdisciplinary approach, the main types of cyclicality, which characterize various types of socio-economic dynamics, are critically examined and analyzed. The main attention is paid to the problem of violation of "natural cyclicity" as a result of the action of factors of an extraordinary nature.
社会经济周期的现代解释:方法论方面
周期性是所有经济和社会进程的一种普遍和一般的运动形式,而不管它们发生的经济和社会水平如何。周期性也是市场自我调节机制的表现之一。本文的目的是在宏观层面上对社会经济系统周期性发展的主要概念进行批判性审查,并强调在全球范围内不可预测的因素(自然灾害、干旱、流行病,最重要的是战争)的影响下改变其发展轨迹的方法论观点,首先以现代乌克兰为例。在这项工作中,从跨学科方法的角度出发,对各种类型的社会经济动态特征的主要周期性类型进行了严格的检查和分析。主要关注的是由于特殊性质因素的作用而违反“自然循环”的问题。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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