Civil War Settlements, Perceived Agreement Fairness, and Trust in Political Authorities: Investigating the Influence of Power Sharing on Public Opinion in Divided Societies

IF 2.2 1区社会学 Q1 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS

Journal of Conflict Resolution Pub Date : 2023-09-19 DOI:10.1177/00220027231202774

Caroline A. Hartzell, Matthew Hoddie, Douglas Page

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Abstract

Little is known about civil war settlements' effects on public opinion in countries emerging from conflict, cases in which beliefs in agreement fairness and trust in political authorities may influence acceptance of the peace process. We posit that settlements designed to redistribute power and resources will be perceived as fairer and produce larger improvements in trust in the national government for individuals from marginalized groups than for those from dominant groups. Employing original survey data collected in the Philippines, we test these propositions with reference to the country’s 2014 peace agreement. We find that marginalized Muslim groups perceive a fairer peace agreement and report improved trust in comparison to the dominant Christian community. Using a survey experiment to analyze the influence of power-redistributing settlement measures, we find that trust in the government is not significantly affected by information regarding power sharing, a result that holds for members of both communities.

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内战解决方案，感知协议公平和对政治当局的信任:调查分裂社会中权力分享对公众舆论的影响

内战解决方案对刚摆脱冲突的国家的公众舆论的影响知之甚少，在这种情况下，对协议公平的信念和对政治当局的信任可能影响对和平进程的接受程度。我们假设，旨在重新分配权力和资源的解决方案将被认为是更公平的，并且对来自边缘群体的个人比来自主导群体的个人对国家政府的信任产生更大的改善。我们利用在菲律宾收集的原始调查数据，参照该国2014年的和平协议来检验这些主张。我们发现，与占主导地位的基督教社区相比，被边缘化的穆斯林群体认为更公平的和平协议，并报告信任度有所提高。通过一项调查实验分析权力再分配解决措施的影响，我们发现权力分享信息对政府信任的影响不显著，这一结果对两个社区的成员都成立。

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来源期刊

Journal of Conflict Resolution Multiple-

CiteScore

5.30

自引率

9.70%

发文量

101

期刊介绍： The Journal of Conflict Resolution is an interdisciplinary journal of social scientific theory and research on human conflict. It focuses especially on international conflict, but its pages are open to a variety of contributions about intergroup conflict, as well as between nations, that may help in understanding problems of war and peace. Reports about innovative applications, as well as basic research, are welcomed, especially when the results are of interest to scholars in several disciplines.