Media Treatment of Monetary Policy Surprises and Their Impact on Firms' and Consumers' Expectations

IF 1.2 3区 经济学 Q3 BUSINESS, FINANCE
Julien Pinter, Evzen Kocenda
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Abstract

Abstract We investigate whether monetary policy announcements affect firms' and consumers' expectations by considering their media treatment. We initially use standard monetary policy surprise measures and analyze how the main general newspapers in France report on the announcements. Eighty‐five percent of the monetary policy surprises are either not associated with the newspapers reporting a change in the monetary policy stance or have a sign inconsistent with the media report. Only when we consider media‐consistent monetary policy surprises do we find that consumers and firms respond to monetary policy announcements. The economic tonality of the media reports drives the sign of consumers' response.
媒体对货币政策意外的处理及其对企业和消费者预期的影响
摘要本文考察了货币政策公告是否会影响企业和消费者的预期。我们首先使用标准的货币政策意外措施,并分析法国主要报纸如何报道这些公告。85%的货币政策意外要么与报纸报道的货币政策立场变化无关,要么与媒体报道的迹象不一致。只有当我们考虑媒体一致的货币政策意外时,我们才会发现消费者和企业对货币政策公告做出反应。媒体报道的经济调性推动了消费者反应的迹象。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.90
自引率
6.70%
发文量
98
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