Explaining Ukraine's resilience to Russia's invasion: The role of local governance

IF 2.6 3区管理学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE

Governance-An International Journal of Policy Administration and Institutions Pub Date : 2023-10-06 DOI:10.1111/gove.12827

Maryna Rabinovych, Tymofii Brik, Andrii Darkovich, Myroslava Savisko, Valentyn Hatsko, Serhii Tytiuk, Igor Piddubnyi

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Abstract

Resilience of local communities (territorial hromadas) is an increasingly salient matter in the academic and policy debate on the factors which have determined Ukraine's resilience to Russia's 2022 invasion. Building on existing literature on institutional resilience and its predictors, this article explains the ability of Ukrainian self-governed municipalities to withstand the threats to institutional stability stemming from the invasion. First, it uses an exploratory qualitative design to operationalize the concept of resilience and its predictors with an account of varying experiences of Ukrainian hromadas during the full-scale invasion (e.g., hromadas near the frontline and in the rear). Next, it presents data from open sources and the results of a regression analysis to test the impact of various groups of predictors on hromadas' resilience to the full-scale invasion. Our models show a significant relationship between hromadas' resilience and geographical, politico-administrative and economic predictors influenced by the outcomes of the decentralization reform conducted in Ukraine since 2014.

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解释乌克兰抵御俄罗斯入侵的能力：地方治理的作用

在关于决定乌克兰抵御俄罗斯 2022 年入侵的因素的学术和政策辩论中，地方社区（领地）的复原力日益突出。本文以有关机构复原力及其预测因素的现有文献为基础，解释了乌克兰自治市抵御入侵带来的机构稳定性威胁的能力。首先，文章采用探索性的定性设计，通过对乌克兰自治市在全面入侵期间的不同经历（如前线附近的自治市和后方的自治市）的描述，将复原力的概念及其预测因素具体化。接下来，报告介绍了公开来源的数据和回归分析的结果，以检验各组预测因素对民兵抵御全面入侵的影响。我们的模型显示，受 2014 年以来乌克兰权力下放改革成果的影响，长老会的复原力与地理、政治-行政和经济预测因素之间存在重要关系。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Governance-An International Journal of Policy Administration and Institutions Multiple-

CiteScore

5.70

自引率

10.30%

发文量

期刊介绍： Governance provides a forum for the theoretical and practical discussion of executive politics, public policy, administration, and the organization of the state. Published in association with International Political Science Association''s Research Committee on the Structure & Organization of Government (SOG), it emphasizes peer-reviewed articles that take an international or comparative approach to public policy and administration. All papers, regardless of empirical focus, should have wider theoretical, comparative, or practical significance.