Assessment of Farmersâ Perception of Climate Change and Variability and its Implication for Implementation of Climate-Smart Agricultural Practices: the Case of Geze Gofa District, Southern Ethiopia

T. S. Saguye
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引用次数: 6

Abstract

Smallholder farmers are highly vulnerable to the impacts climate change, due to their dependence on agriculture for their livelihoods, reliance on rain-fed crops and location in marginal lands. Farmers have to perceive first that the climate has changed, and then identify effective and efficient climate change-smart agricultural practices climate and implement them. The main purpose of this study was to analyze factors determining the farming communities’ awareness of climate change and variability and it’s implication for implementation of climate change-smart farming practices. A multi stage sampling procedure followed to select sample respondent households and the total sample size of the study was 138 households. This study employed both qualitative and quantitative methods of data collection. Primary data were collected by using semi-structured interview schedule, focus group discussion (FGDs) and key informant interviews. Logistic regression model was used to estimate household demographic, socio-economic, institutional and biophysical factors that determine the farmers’ perception of climate change and variability in the area. The results indicated that about 88.73% of farmers believe that temperature in the district had become warmer and over 90% were of the recognized that rainfall volume; pattern, distribution and timing had changed, resulting in increased frequency of drought. Though the majority of the responders perceived climate change only 62.56% of the total respondents’ implemented climate change-smart agricultural practices while the remaining 37.5% had not adapted any climate change-smart agricultural practices. This could imply that though perception is the frontline prerequisite sequentially for adoption of climate change-smart agricultural practices decisions, it is not cure-all alone. From the findings of the logistic analyses, the local socio-economic, institutional and agro-ecological and the information on weather and climate were significant in determining the likelihood of a good perception and knowledge of climate change and variability. To enhance rural farmers’ awareness and adoption of climate change adaptation techniques, more focus should therefore be given to socio-economic (farm experience, education and training, access to weather related information household size, wealth, land ownership) factors as suggested by model results. So, effective communication, active community involvement and considering socio-cultural factors such as religious practices and rituals could be areas of policy implication of the study.
评估FarmersÃⅱÂÂ对气候变化和变率的认识及其对实施气候智能型农业实践的影响:以埃塞俄比亚南部Geze Gofa地区为例
小农非常容易受到气候变化的影响,因为他们的生计依赖农业,依赖雨养作物,而且地处边缘土地。农民必须首先意识到气候已经发生了变化,然后确定有效和高效的气候变化智能型农业做法,并加以实施。本研究的主要目的是分析影响农业社区对气候变化和变率的认识的因素,及其对实施气候变化智能型农业实践的影响。采用多阶段抽样方法,选取调查对象家庭,总样本量为138户。本研究采用定性与定量相结合的数据收集方法。采用半结构化访谈计划、焦点小组讨论(fgd)和关键信息提供者访谈法收集原始数据。采用Logistic回归模型估算了农户对该地区气候变化和变异感知的家庭人口、社会经济、制度和生物物理因素。结果表明:88.73%的农户认为本区气温在变暖,90%以上的农户认为本区降雨量在变暖;格局、分布和时间发生了变化,导致干旱频率增加。尽管大多数应答者感知到了气候变化,但只有62.56%的应答者实施了气候变化智慧型农业实践,而其余37.5%的应答者没有适应任何气候变化智慧型农业实践。这可能意味着,尽管感知是采取气候变化智能型农业实践决策的首要先决条件,但它并不是包治百病的唯一因素。从逻辑分析的结果来看,当地的社会经济、体制和农业生态以及天气和气候信息在确定对气候变化和变率有良好认识和认识的可能性方面具有重要意义。为了提高农村农民对气候变化适应技术的认识和采用,应更加注重模型结果所建议的社会经济因素(农场经验、教育和培训、获取与天气有关的信息、家庭规模、财富、土地所有权)。因此,有效的沟通、积极的社区参与以及考虑宗教习俗和仪式等社会文化因素可能是本研究的政策含义领域。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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