PREDISCHAGE LUNG ULTRASOUND AS A PREDICTOR OF REHOSPITALIZATION OR MORTALITY ACUTE HEART FAILURE PATIENTS

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Abstract

Backgroud: Persistent congestion is a major cause of rehospitalization in patients with acute heart failure (AHF). Lung Ultrasound (LUS) is an easy and valid examination in assessing pulmonary congestion. The number of B-lines correlates very strongly with the amount of extravascular lung fluid (EVLW). The aim of this study is to determine if LUS pre-discharge can predict rehospitalization or mortality. Methods: This single centered cohort study included 127 consecutive AHF patients. LUS on 28 antorolateral chest wall segment was done double blindly before discharging the patient to calculate the B-line. Clinical data, Composite Congestion Score (CCS) and echocardiography were collected. Cox proportional hazard regression analysis was performed to assess the independent predictor of rehabilitation or mortality during 120 days of observation. Results: The patients were 57.4 ± 7.8 years old, most were male (66.9%), with LV EF 36.7 ± 7.2%. The etiology of heart failure was caused by coronary heart disease (56.7%) and hypertensive heart disease (40.9%). The median number of B-lines was 24 (15 - 39). Hospitalization or death occurred in 43 patients (33.8%) during the median observation of 120 days (73-120). Patients with B-line pre-discharge ≥30 had a lower mean survival (log rank X2 48.14; p <0.001). In multivariate analysis, B-line pre-discharge ≥30 was the strongest independent predictor of rehabilitation or mortality (HR 4.71; 95% CI 2.15 - 10.32). Other independent predictors are Composite Congestion Score (CCS) ≥ 3 (HR 4.26; 95% CI 2.07 - 8.77) and NYHA functional class III (HR 2.87; 95% CI 1.49 - 5, 53). Conclusion: Persistent pulmonary congestion in AHF patients as assessed by B-line pre-discharge ≥30 is a strong independent predictor of rehospitalization or mortality. LUS could potentially help to guide the timing of discharge from AHF hospitalization, the follow-up scheduling and the therapy tailoring. Further randomized clinical studies are needed to definitely support the routine use of LUS.
出院前肺部超声作为急性心力衰竭患者再住院或死亡率的预测因子
背景:持续性充血是急性心力衰竭(AHF)患者再次住院的主要原因。肺超声(LUS)是评估肺充血的一种简单有效的检查方法。b线的数量与肺血管外液(EVLW)的数量密切相关。本研究的目的是确定LUS出院前是否可以预测再住院或死亡率。方法:该单中心队列研究纳入127例连续AHF患者。出院前对28个胸壁前外侧段行双盲LUS计算b线。收集临床资料、综合充血评分(CCS)和超声心动图。采用Cox比例风险回归分析评估120天观察期间康复或死亡率的独立预测因子。结果:患者年龄57.4±7.8岁,男性居多(66.9%),左室EF 36.7±7.2%。心衰的病因主要为冠心病(56.7%)和高血压(40.9%)。b系的中位数为24条(15 ~ 39条)。在中位观察120天(73-120天)期间,有43例(33.8%)患者住院或死亡。b线预出院≥30的患者平均生存期较低(log rank X2 48.14;p < 0.001)。在多变量分析中,b线出院前≥30是康复或死亡率最强的独立预测因子(HR 4.71;95% ci 2.15 - 10.32)。其他独立预测因子为:复合拥塞评分(CCS)≥3 (HR 4.26;95% CI 2.07 - 8.77)和NYHA功能III级(HR 2.87;95% ci 1.49 - 5,53)。结论:b线出院前≥30评估的AHF患者持续性肺充血是再次住院或死亡的一个强有力的独立预测因子。LUS可能有助于指导AHF住院的出院时间、随访安排和治疗定制。需要进一步的随机临床研究来明确支持LUS的常规使用。
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