Fantasy and Dread: The Demand for Information and the Consumption Utility of the Future

Ananda Ganguly, Joshua Tasoff
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引用次数: 106

Abstract

We present evidence that intrinsic demand for information about the future is increasing in expected future consumption utility. In the first experiment, subjects may resolve a lottery now or later. The information is useless for decision making but the larger the reward, the more likely subjects are to pay to resolve the lottery early. In the second experiment subjects may pay to avoid being tested for HSV-1 and the more highly feared HSV-2. Subjects are three times more likely to avoid testing for HSV-2, suggesting that more aversive outcomes lead to more information avoidance. In a third experiment, subjects make choices about when to get tested for a fictional disease. Some subjects behave in a way consistent with expected utility theory and others exhibit greater delay of information for more severe diseases. We also find that information choice is correlated with positive affect, ambiguity aversion, and time preference as some theories predict.
幻想与恐惧:对信息的需求和未来的消费效用
我们提供的证据表明,对未来信息的内在需求在预期未来消费效用中正在增加。在第一个实验中,受试者可以现在或以后解决一个彩票。决策的信息是无用的,但回报越大,对象就越有可能提前支付解决彩票。在第二个实验中受试者可能支付,以避免被测试为1型单纯疱疹病毒和担心HSV-2越高。受试者逃避HSV-2检测的可能性是其他人的三倍,这表明更令人厌恶的结果导致更多的信息回避。在第三个实验中,受试者做出选择时要检测一种虚构的疾病。一些受试者的行为方式与预期效用理论一致,而另一些受试者对更严重的疾病表现出更大的信息延迟。我们还发现,信息选择与积极情绪、模糊厌恶和时间偏好之间存在相关关系。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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