MONETARY POLICY AND INSURANCE SECTOR PERFORMANCE IN NIGERIA

J. Obayagbona, Mayowa Gabriel Ajao
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Abstract

ABSTRACT The study empirically examines the effect of monetary policy on the performance of insurance sector in Nigeria for the period 1985 to 2021. The error correction model (ECM) and the cointegration econometric technique were employed for the estimation of the short run and long run relationship. The empirical findings revealed that in the short run, all the hypothesized monetary policy variables (monetary policy rate, cash reserve ratio, reserve requirement, minimum rediscount rate, money supply and interest rate) failed the 5 percent significance level, suggesting that they do not have significant effect on insurance sector performance in Nigeria in the short run. On the other hands, the results of the long run model indicate that monetary policy rate, cash reserve ratio and minimum rediscount rate have significant positive relationship with insurance sector performance. However, those of reserve requirement, money supply and interest rate do not have significant relationship with the performance of insurance sector in Nigeria within the period of investigation. The study recommends among others that since the result from the study has shown that Monetary policy rate significantly impact insurance performance, it therefore follows that activities of insurance firms as well as their overall performance can be adversely impacted by monetary policy decisions if not proactively prepared for and responded to. To this end, management should evolve appropriate strategy that would enable them proactively tackle unfavourable business environment resulting in macroeconomic risks in order to avoid adverse operating losses.
尼日利亚的货币政策和保险业表现
本研究实证考察了1985年至2021年期间货币政策对尼日利亚保险业绩效的影响。采用误差修正模型(ECM)和协整计量经济学方法对短期和长期关系进行了估计。实证结果显示,在短期内,所有假设的货币政策变量(货币政策利率、现金准备金率、存款准备金率、最低再贴现率、货币供应量和利率)均未能达到5%的显著性水平,表明它们在短期内对尼日利亚保险业绩效没有显著影响。另一方面,长期模型的结果表明,货币政策利率、现金准备金率和最低再贴现率与保险业绩效呈显著正相关。然而,在调查期内,准备金率、货币供应量和利率与尼日利亚保险业的绩效没有显著的关系。除其他外,该研究建议,由于研究结果表明,货币政策利率显著影响保险业绩,因此,如果不积极准备和应对,保险公司的活动及其整体业绩可能受到货币政策决定的不利影响。为此目的,管理层应制订适当的战略,使其能够主动处理造成宏观经济风险的不利商业环境,以避免不利的经营损失。
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