Governance and economic growth in Cameroon

F. Sikod, J. Teke
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

Endowed with significant natural resources—petroleum, forestry and a rich agricultural base—and sufficiently skilled human resources, Cameroon has the potential to be one of the wealthiest countries in sub-Saharan Africa, yet it has not been able to develop since independence. This is an indication that resources alone cannot significantly lead to sustainable growth. This study has established that political and economic governance play a key role in growth. The paper has empirically assessed the impact of governance on the performance of the Cameroonian economy. In the paper, we have used the models of Knack (2002), Edison (2003), Baliamoune-Lutz (2005) and Easterly et al. (2006) on governance and economic growth, to establish that there is a positive and significant relationship between governance and economic growth. We have also used the results of the model by Edison (2003) to cost bad governance. Using the coefficients from his findings, we have established that if governance measures in Cameroon improved from an index of -0.72 to the sub-Saharan index of -0.49, the country’s gross domestic product (GDP) per capita would rise from US$600 to US$900. If the governance index for the country were to improve to the global level of 0.13, the GDP per capita for Cameroon would climb from US$600 to US$2,760. We have also used a study carried out by Transparency International Cameroon to reinforce the findings of Knack (2002), Edison (2003) and Baliamoune-Lutz (2005). Since progress towards good governance in Cameroon has at best been mediocre, it is not surprising that the economy has remained fundamentally under-developed. RP 250 prelims.indd 6 16/01/2014 11:19:41
喀麦隆的治理和经济增长
喀麦隆拥有丰富的自然资源——石油、林业和丰富的农业基础——以及足够熟练的人力资源,有潜力成为撒哈拉以南非洲最富有的国家之一,但自独立以来一直未能发展起来。这表明,仅靠资源无法显著促进可持续增长。本研究表明,政治和经济治理在经济增长中发挥着关键作用。本文对治理对喀麦隆经济表现的影响进行了实证评估。本文采用Knack(2002)、Edison(2003)、balamune - lutz(2005)和Easterly等人(2006)关于治理与经济增长的模型,证明治理与经济增长之间存在显著的正相关关系。我们还使用了Edison(2003)模型的结果来衡量不良治理的成本。利用他的研究结果中的系数,我们已经确定,如果喀麦隆的治理措施指数从-0.72提高到撒哈拉以南地区的-0.49,该国的人均国内生产总值(GDP)将从600美元提高到900美元。如果该国的治理指数提高到0.13的全球水平,喀麦隆的人均国内生产总值将从600美元上升到2760美元。我们还利用透明国际喀麦隆开展的一项研究来强化Knack(2002年)、Edison(2003年)和baliamune - lutz(2005年)的发现。由于喀麦隆在良好治理方面的进展充其量是平庸的,因此经济基本上仍然不发达也就不足为奇了。250卢比预购。2014年6月16日11:19:41
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