Thinking Inertia and Path Dependence in Indo-Pacific Strategy of the United States

Yulong Yang
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引用次数: 15

Abstract

With the profound adjustment of the international pattern, the Indo-Pacific region has increasingly become one of the most active regions on the international stage and the focus of American foreign strategy has shifted from Europe to the Indo-Pacific region. By observing its policy documents and diplomatic practice on Indo-Pacific regions, we can find that the US Indo-Pacific strategy presents the thinking inertia, which is manifested by its hard power supremacy, the superiority of values, and the presupposition of imaginary enemies. Meanwhile, the United States emphasizes military means, establishes value alliances, and implements competitive blockade policies, showing its path dependence. The deployment and implementation of the US Indo-Pacific strategy are menacing and pose a long-term challenge and threat to China’s development. Based on these tensions, China may summarize and refine the foreign strategic thinking and path of the United States, so as to clarify its intentions and trends before making preventive responses.
美国印太战略的思维惯性与路径依赖
随着国际格局的深刻调整,印太地区日益成为国际舞台上最活跃的地区之一,美国对外战略的重心也从欧洲转向印太地区。通过观察美国在印太地区的政策文件和外交实践,我们可以发现,美国的印太战略呈现出思维惯性,表现为硬实力至上、价值观至上、假想敌预设。同时,美国强调军事手段,建立价值联盟,实行竞争性封锁政策,表现出路径依赖。美国“印太战略”的部署和实施具有威胁性,对中国的发展构成长期挑战和威胁。基于这些紧张局势,中国可以总结和提炼美国的外交战略思路和路径,从而明确其意图和趋势,然后做出预防性的反应。
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