Sovereign Development: A Grand Strategy for Pakistan

A. Zaman
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Abstract

Although Pakistan has never been even accused of any complicity in 9/11, during 2005-2013 U.S. drones killed some 80,000 Pakistanis (49,000 civilians); and associated domestic subversion and terrorism, another 50,000 persons. Pakistan needs to defend its citizens, better. This requires sovereign action by the government to formulate and execute a grand strategy integrating a counter-propaganda offensive, defence, diplomacy, and an expanded conception of development that includes national security (sovereign development). By way of context, the paper identifies four emergent trends that have affected Pakistan, and are likely to be of significance in the years ahead: (1) The re-birth of nationalism in the West; (2) The dominance of “War by Narrative” in the war for oil and Israel; (3) The economic emergence of Sino-Russian Eurasia; and (4) The emergence of militant extremism in India. Together they spell the further weakening of international mechanisms of peace-keeping and the consequent end of globalism as the West turns toward greater nationalism and neo-mercantile economics. While the rise of China and Russia may offset the turn to greater militarism in India, contingent threats to Pakistan's security are likely to rise. To meet these threats, the paper outlines a four-point grand strategy of sovereign development which would provide an overall integrated approach to: (1) Strategic communication; (2) Defence; (3) Diplomacy; and (4) Development. It concludes by identifying some constraints to implementation and suggesting ways to overcome them.
主权发展:巴基斯坦的大战略
尽管巴基斯坦从未被指控参与了911事件,但在2005年至2013年期间,美国无人机杀死了大约8万名巴基斯坦人(其中4.9万名平民);与国内颠覆和恐怖主义有关的,还有5万人。巴基斯坦需要更好地保护自己的公民。这需要政府采取主权行动,制定和执行一项综合了反宣传攻势、国防、外交和包括国家安全(主权发展)在内的扩展发展概念的大战略。通过上下文的方式,本文确定了影响巴基斯坦的四个新兴趋势,并且可能在未来几年具有重要意义:(1)西方民族主义的重生;(2)“叙事战争”在石油与以色列战争中的主导地位;(3)中俄欧亚经济崛起;(4)激进极端主义在印度的出现。它们共同预示着国际维持和平机制的进一步削弱,以及随着西方转向更大的民族主义和新商业经济,全球主义的终结。虽然中国和俄罗斯的崛起可能会抵消印度军国主义的加剧,但对巴基斯坦安全的潜在威胁可能会上升。为了应对这些威胁,本文概述了主权发展的四点大战略,该战略将提供一个全面综合的方法:(1)战略沟通;(2)防御;(3)外交;(四)发展。最后指出了实施过程中的一些制约因素,并提出了克服这些制约因素的方法。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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