REAL WAGES, INFLATION AND UNEMPLOYMENT NEXUS, IMPLICATION ON WELFARE IN SUB SAHARAN AFRICA

Evelyn Nwamaka Ogbeide Osaretin, Kelvin Osemudiamen Ogbeifun
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Abstract

This study examines the welfare implication of the real wages, inflation and unemployment nexus, in sub-Saharan Africa countries from 2001 to 2020. The goal of this study is to analyze the role of wage rate in the impact of inflation and unemployment on household welfare in SSA. The study adopted Equal Satisfaction Capacity theory by Pigou as the theoretical framework, while the Panel GMM was employed in the estimation of the variables. The results showed that wage rate, population, and exchange rate have a positive and substantial relationship with household consumption and hence welfare, but inflation, unemployment, and government capital spending had a negative but significant relationship. Furthermore, government final consumption spending have a negative and significant relationship. The study made the following recommendation; the effective employment of macroeconomic policy tools in the control of inflation, increase in employment rate through a joint public private partnership in the creation of employment, full encouragement of entrepreneurial activities as well
实际工资,通货膨胀和失业关系,对撒哈拉以南非洲福利的影响
本研究考察了2001年至2020年撒哈拉以南非洲国家实际工资、通货膨胀和失业关系对福利的影响。本研究的目的是分析工资率在通货膨胀和失业对社会保障地区家庭福利的影响中的作用。本研究采用庇古的等满足能力理论作为理论框架,采用Panel GMM对变量进行估计。结果表明,工资率、人口和汇率与家庭消费和福利之间存在显著的正相关关系,而通货膨胀、失业率和政府资本支出之间存在显著的负相关关系。政府最终消费支出与经济增长之间存在显著负相关关系。这项研究提出了以下建议:有效地运用宏观经济政策手段控制通货膨胀,通过公私合作增加就业率,创造就业机会,充分鼓励企业活动
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