Integral assessment and forecasting of economic regional security (on the example of the Volga Federal District)

Abstract

Diagnostics and forecasting of economic security plays a special role at the macro- and mesolevels of the economy. The main task of each region is to ensure the optimal state of economic security, for this it is necessary to predict threats accurately, analyze risks in the context of economic sectors and give appropriate estimates of indicators. The study applied a method for assessing the economic security of the regional level using an integral assessment, for this the following procedures were sequentially carried out: the search for statistical data, the formation of weight coefficients using expert assessments, determining the structure of the model and finding an integral indicator in the context of projections and regions: real economy, financial sphere, social sphere, assessment of the general integral indicator of economic security of the regions of the Volga Federal District.