Digital Transformation of Oil and Gas Sector during Transition to Renewable Energy Sources

Valeriy M. Tumin, A. S. Kharlanov, E. Zenkina, P. Kostromin, V. Trifonov
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引用次数: 1

Abstract

Modern energy sector is going through the era of quantitative and qualitative changes which influence all its stakeholders: companies manufacturing and consuming energy, state, population, environmental protecting organizations. This process cannot be accurately predicted since oil, gas and coal mining companies resist changes in some degree, because the fourth energetic transition means the replacement of traditional carbohydrates and fossil fuel with innovative sources: sun, wind, geothermal energy. Their proportion in the world energy consumption is still small but grows increasingly. Therefore, the final energy balance of countries and territories is still unknown just as exact directions of export and import of such energy resources are unknown, since countries that previously only imported oil and gas can become new world leaders in the pure energy production. The fact that this problem is urgent in Russia does not cause any doubt due to the “Dutch disease” of economics, i.e. the dependence of the country budget on world prices for fossil fuel. At the same time, our country has a high potential of renewable sources, at least, wind energetic. The article reviews literature on approaches to industrial digital transformation and the place of renewable energetic in future business models. The transition to digital transformation is aligned with the UN Sustainable Development goals and the goals of the Paris Climate Agreement. The theory of energy transitions by V. Smil is assessed by the authors as one of the most promising theories which describe the future of world energy and the place of renewable sources in it. The authors consider the dynamics of primary energy consumption in the world and curves of learning which show the growth of economic efficiency of renewable and non-traditional sources in comparison with traditional fossil fuels. The authors draw the conclusions about promising trends of the world energy development in the context of digital transformation.
向可再生能源转型过程中油气行业的数字化转型
现代能源部门正在经历量变和质变的时代,影响着所有的利益相关者:生产和消费能源的公司、国家、人口、环保组织。这一过程无法准确预测,因为石油、天然气和煤炭开采公司在某种程度上抵制变化,因为第四次能源转型意味着用太阳能、风能、地热能等创新能源取代传统的碳水化合物和化石燃料。它们在世界能源消费中所占的比例仍然很小,但越来越大。因此,国家和地区的最终能源平衡仍然是未知的,就像这种能源资源的确切进出口方向是未知的一样,因为以前只进口石油和天然气的国家可以成为纯能源生产的新的世界领导者。由于经济上的“荷兰病”,即国家预算依赖于化石燃料的世界价格,这个问题在俄罗斯是紧迫的,这一事实毫无疑问。与此同时,我国的可再生能源潜力很大,至少风能。本文回顾了有关工业数字化转型途径和可再生能源在未来商业模式中的地位的文献。向数字化转型的过渡符合联合国可持续发展目标和《巴黎气候协定》的目标。斯米尔的能源转换理论被作者评价为描述世界能源的未来和可再生能源在其中的地位的最有前途的理论之一。作者考虑了世界一次能源消费的动态和学习曲线,这些曲线显示了与传统化石燃料相比,可再生能源和非传统能源的经济效率增长。总结了数字化转型背景下世界能源发展的发展趋势。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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