Industry Momentum Strategy Based on Text Mining in the Japanese Stock Market

Yuya Kimura, Kei Nakagawa
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Abstract

Industry momentum refers to the phenomenon that buying(selling) industry portfolio from the past winner(loser) generates a positive return. In general, there is some lead-lag effect in the spread of price information due to the limited attention of investors. The industry momentum exploits the lead-lag effect due to information spillover delays within industries. In this study, We test whether industry momentum is stronger when we use information that is not attracting the attention of investors. We first perform industry classification with text mining of Annual Securities Reports describing the business activities of each company listed on the Japanese stock market. Then, we can identify groups of industry peer companies with low investor attention that is likely to cause the lead-lag effect. Such a text-based industry classification based on Annual Securities Reports is less visible to the investors but has an economic link among companies. We confirm that industry momentum base on text-based industry classification is more significant than traditional industry classification in Japanese stock market.
基于文本挖掘的日本股市行业动量策略
行业动量是指从过去的赢家(输家)手中买入(卖出)行业投资组合产生正回报的现象。一般情况下,由于投资者的关注度有限,价格信息的传播存在一定的超前滞后效应。产业动量利用了产业内部信息外溢延迟所产生的超前滞后效应。在本研究中,我们测试了当我们使用不吸引投资者注意的信息时,行业势头是否更强。我们首先使用描述日本股票市场上每个上市公司的业务活动的年度证券报告的文本挖掘进行行业分类。然后,我们可以确定投资者关注度较低的行业同行公司群体,这些公司可能会导致领先-滞后效应。这种基于年度证券报告的基于文本的行业分类对投资者来说不太明显,但公司之间存在经济联系。在日本股市中,基于文本的行业分类比传统的行业分类具有更显著的行业动量。
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