CHALLENGES FOR MAINTAINING THE PRESENCE OF THE BUNDESWEHR IN ZONES OF INSTABILITY IN ASIA AND AFRICA

P. Trunov
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Abstract

Currently, there are two main forms of a state’s military presence outside its national borders: first, military presence on the territory of allies, strategic partners from among stable countries, and second, various ways of using the armed forces to resolve armed conflicts in areas of instability. In the second case, if and then military confrontation is over, external players can maintain their military presence in the country of origin of the conflict, which is about to enter or has already entered the stage of post-conflict development, preserving the role of external guarantors of its national security and defense systems. The goal of the article is to show the main results of the use of the Bundeswehr in the zones of armed conflicts in Asia and Africa by the early 2020 s, revealing the features and «bottlenecks» of this process in dynamics. The article analyzes the use of the Bundeswehr in the following areas: in Afghanistan, examines Germany’s involvement in the International Security Assistance Force (ISAF) and the NATO «Resolute Support» mission, showing the determinism of the forced strategic exit of the Alliance forces from this country; in the Middle East, examines the involvement of the Bundeswehr in the reform of the security sector in Lebanon and Iraq in the context of the anti-terrorist struggle is considered, the «bottlenecks» in the use of the military potential of the Bundeswehr in Syria; in the Horn of Africa, analyses three strategic attempts of Germany to gain a foothold on Somalia as well as their consequences for using the Bundeswehr on the African continent in general; in North and West Africa, the use of military tools for «fencing» of instability zone in Libya and for resolution of armed conflict in Mali are compared, the fundamental difficulties of maintaining Germany in this region are revealed.
在亚洲和非洲不稳定地区维持联邦国防军存在的挑战
目前,一个国家在其国界之外的军事存在主要有两种形式:一是在盟国、稳定国家之间的战略伙伴领土上的军事存在;二是在不稳定地区利用武装力量解决武装冲突的各种方式。在第二种情况下,如果军事对抗结束,外部参与者可以在即将进入或已经进入冲突后发展阶段的冲突起源国维持其军事存在,保留其国家安全和国防系统的外部担保人的作用。本文的目标是展示到2020年代初在亚洲和非洲武装冲突地区使用联邦国防军的主要成果,揭示这一进程的动态特征和“瓶颈”。本文分析了联邦国防军在以下领域的使用:在阿富汗,考察了德国参与国际安全援助部队(ISAF)和北约“坚决支持”任务,显示了联盟部队从该国被迫战略退出的决定论;在中东,在反恐斗争的背景下,审查了联邦国防军参与黎巴嫩和伊拉克安全部门改革的情况,考虑了在叙利亚使用联邦国防军军事潜力的“瓶颈”;在非洲之角,分析了德国在索马里获得立足点的三次战略尝试,以及它们对在整个非洲大陆使用联邦国防军的影响;在北非和西非,比较了在利比亚不稳定地区使用军事工具“围栏”和在马里解决武装冲突,揭示了在该地区维持德国的根本困难。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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