Analysis of the impact of international financial organizations on the economic growth of the country

O. Shkurat, N. Balabanova
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Abstract

ANALYSIS OF THE IMPACT OF INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL ORGANIZATIONS ON THE ECONOMIC GROWTH OF THE COUNTRY The article analyzes the economic cooperation of Ukraine with International Financial Organizations at different stages of development. It has been determined that for the whole period of Ukraine's cooperation with the MFIs, loans for the total amount of USD 12 579 million and EUR 5 923 million were attracted for the implementation of economic and social development projects. Of all international financial institutions, the largest amounts of loans to the Ukrainian economy were provided by the International Monetary Fund USD 23.668 billion, which is 69% of the total amount of international loans received. In the second position the volume of loans granted by the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development (12.6%), the volume of loans from the EBRD amounted to USD 157.79; loans granted by the European Investment Bank account for 11.9%. It is determined that, based on the purpose of borrowing by MFIs, their practical use and repayment conditions, there are consequences for their use in the future. In Ukraine, new external borrowings are directed not at economic development but at financing current budget expenditures, including the servicing of already existing external debt. As a result of the analysis it is determined that most EU countries have significantly exceeded the generally accepted debt load limits. In particular, Greece's gross national debt is 181.13% of GDP, Italy 132.16%, Portugal 121.47%, Cyprus 102.54%, Belgium 102.03%. The ratio of gross external debt to GDP is 85.74% in Ukraine. It is noted that a high number of EU countries with debt levels above the average level of integration (58%) are characterized by low GDP growth rates. On the contrary, in countries where the level of government debt does not exceed 50% (Estonia, Luxembourg, Bulgaria, Czech Republic, Denmark, etc.) higher values of GDP growth are observed. It is noted that government borrowing can be characterized by such a positive macroeconomic effect as accelerating the growth of national income with condition if borrowing money used effectively. However, in practice, attracting external borrowing to the economy, in particular by MFIs, has a positive economic impact mainly in the short term, with negative effects in the long term. In the article has been identified the patterns and dependencies between rates of economic development of EU and Ukrainian countries with changes in the level of government borrowing. Also has been determined the maximum value of the level of government debt, the achievement of which causes a slowdown in the country's economic growth rate. The implications and problems of using external borrowing are revealed. Measures are outlined to improve economic cooperation with international financial institutions.
分析国际金融组织对国家经济增长的影响
国际金融组织对乌克兰经济增长的影响分析本文分析了乌克兰在不同发展阶段与国际金融组织的经济合作。已经确定,在乌克兰与小额信贷机构合作的整个期间,为实施经济和社会发展项目吸引了总额为125.79亿美元和59.23亿欧元的贷款。在所有国际金融机构中,国际货币基金组织向乌克兰经济提供的贷款金额最大,为236.68亿美元,占国际贷款总额的69%。排在第二位的是国际复兴开发银行的贷款额(12.6%),欧洲复兴开发银行的贷款额为157.79美元;欧洲投资银行发放的贷款占11.9%。根据小额信贷机构借款的目的、它们的实际用途和偿还条件,确定今后使用它们会产生后果。在乌克兰,新的外部借款不是用于经济发展,而是用于资助目前的预算支出,包括偿还已经存在的外债。分析的结果确定,大多数欧盟国家的债务负担大大超过了普遍接受的债务负担限额。特别是希腊的国债总额占GDP的比重为181.13%,意大利为132.16%,葡萄牙为121.47%,塞浦路斯为102.54%,比利时为102.03%。乌克兰外债总额占国内生产总值的比例为85.74%。值得注意的是,大量债务水平高于一体化平均水平(58%)的欧盟国家的特点是GDP增长率较低。相反,在政府债务水平不超过50%的国家(爱沙尼亚、卢森堡、保加利亚、捷克共和国、丹麦等),可以观察到更高的GDP增长率。文章指出,在有效利用政府借款的条件下,政府借款具有加速国民收入增长等积极的宏观经济效应。但是,实际上,吸引外部经济借款,特别是小额信贷机构的借款,主要在短期内对经济产生积极影响,在长期内产生消极影响。在文章中已经确定了模式和经济发展速度之间的依赖关系,欧盟和乌克兰国家在政府借贷水平的变化。还确定了政府债务水平的最大值,达到该值会导致该国经济增长率放缓。揭示了使用外部借款的影响和问题。提出了加强与国际金融机构经济合作的措施。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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