DEA Method Application in the Risk Evaluation of Dams Safety on Brazilian Small Hydropower Plants

S. Leite, J. C. F. Souza, R. Chaim
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Abstract

Risk management involves both objective and subjective factors. In principle, objective factors are expressed by numerical values being classified by limit values or ranges, while subjective factors express values that can hardly be represented numerically. The evaluation problem tends to worsen when events must be compared and a selection or ordering must be performed. Besides that, projects are part of day to day of the organizations and it is quite common that the number of demands exceeds the capacity of the team available. For this reason, the importance of considering defined processes to help select and prioritize those who are most relevant to an institution. This paper presents a solution proposal to measure and analyze the efficiency degree associated to Brazilian Small Hydroelectric Power Plants (SHPs) in terms of resources and of efforts allocation on implementation of their Dams Safety programs, against the background of National Security Policy established for this of infrastructure type, having like motivation the need to support and rationalize the regulatory oversight process of the governmental authority that supports it. The method, based on multicriteria analysis and data envelopment methods, focused on improving the knowledge and techniques related to the the conformity monitoring process of the facilities by weighing a relevant set of consolidated and technically recognized factors. Its application made possible to measure and guarantee the judgments consistency throughout the process, minimizing risks, promoting greater rationalization and administrative transparency, enabling, within the principles of Collaborative Governance, the access of interested parties to understandable information that goes beyond those determined by legal provisions.
DEA方法在巴西小水电站大坝安全风险评价中的应用
风险管理涉及客观因素和主观因素。原则上,客观因素用数值表示,用极限值或范围分类,而主观因素用数值表示,难以用数值表示。当必须比较事件并且必须执行选择或排序时,计算问题往往会恶化。除此之外,项目是组织日常工作的一部分,需求的数量超过可用团队的能力是很常见的。由于这个原因,考虑已定义的过程来帮助选择和优先考虑那些与机构最相关的过程的重要性。本文提出了一个解决方案建议,以衡量和分析与巴西小型水力发电厂(SHPs)有关的效率程度,在资源和努力分配方面,实施他们的水坝安全计划,在国家安全政策的背景下,为基础设施类型,有同样的动机需要支持和合理化监管监督过程的政府当局支持它。该方法以多标准分析和数据包络法为基础,通过权衡一套相关的综合和技术上公认的因素,着重于改进与设施合格监测过程有关的知识和技术。它的应用使得在整个过程中衡量和保证判断的一致性成为可能,最大限度地减少风险,促进更大的合理化和行政透明度,在协作治理的原则范围内,使有关各方能够获得超越法律规定的可理解信息。
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