Europe’s Changing Security Architecture

Adrian Hyde-price
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Abstract

Europe’s contemporary security architecture owes its origins to the collapse of Cold War bipolarity in the annus mirabilis of 1989. Twenty-five years on, this post-Cold War security architecture is now exhibiting some serious structural weaknesses, as new risks and challenges emerge – both from within Europe and from without. Constructed around the twin pillars of the Euro-Atlantic community – NATO and the European Union – Europe’s security architecture is under pressure from a number of underlying secular trends that are transforming the international political system : the US “tilt” towards Asia ; the unresolved question of Russia’s relationship to its European neighbourhood ; the continuing upheaval and instability in the “arc of crisis” to Europe’s south and east ; and the shifting global balance of power, epitomised by the rise of China and its fellow “BRICs”. These developments are generating growing concerns that Europe’s security architecture has been irreparably weakened, and is no longer fit for purpose. This chapter addresses the contemporary debate on Europe’s security architecture, and reflects upon its likely evolution. It begins by defining the concept of “security architecture” and explaining how and why a regional security architecture is important. It then identifies the central pillars and constituent elements of Europe’s security architecture, and considers the primary challenges it faces in the early twenty-first century. Finally, it outlines a number of options for Europe’s security architecture and assesses their strengths and weaknesses.
欧洲安全架构的变化
欧洲当代安全架构的起源要归功于1989年奇迹之年冷战两极格局的瓦解。25年过去了,随着来自欧洲内部和外部的新风险和挑战的出现,这一后冷战安全架构现在显示出一些严重的结构性弱点。围绕欧洲-大西洋共同体的两大支柱——北约(NATO)和欧盟(eu)——构建起来的欧洲安全架构,正面临着一些潜在的长期趋势的压力,这些趋势正在改变国际政治体系:美国“倾向”亚洲;俄罗斯与欧洲邻国关系悬而未决的问题;欧洲南部和东部“危机弧线”持续的动荡和不稳定;以及以中国及其“金砖四国”伙伴的崛起为代表的全球力量平衡的转变。这些事态发展让人们越来越担心,欧洲的安全架构已经被不可挽回地削弱,不再适合实现目标。本章讨论了当代关于欧洲安全架构的争论,并对其可能的演变进行了反思。本文首先定义了“安全架构”的概念,并解释了区域安全架构的重要性。然后,它确定了欧洲安全架构的中心支柱和组成要素,并考虑了它在21世纪初面临的主要挑战。最后,它概述了欧洲安全架构的一些选择,并评估了它们的优缺点。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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