Impact of technological change on security

Magdalena Molendowska
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Abstract

Purpose of the study: The object of the analysis is to assess the impact of technological change on security in both socio-economic and military contexts. The essence of the research is to show opportunities and threats resulting from the use of new technologies in the public (political, economic, social) and military space. Methodology: The article was prepared based on critical analysis of literature and documents and uncontrolled observation method. Main findings:  When analyzing the use and impact of new technologies in the area of security, the following key questions arise: Could new technologies create problems for arms control? Could a new weapon or its use trigger an arms race?  Could new technologies cause problems for people and the environment? In fact, technological change can have both positive and negative effects on security. Above all, it is important to realize that not using new technology is just as dangerous as using it. This applies to the development of economy, civilization and social progress. In the military area, it seems most dangerous to entrust control of nuclear arsenals to computer systems endowed with the ability to make decisions on their own. Application of the study: Security forecasting based on the major variables emerging in today’s security environment. Original/Novelty of the study: The subject matter is very current, we all participate in the identified problem. The use of new technology, on the one hand, helps make security more effective, but on the other, strikes fear and unease. The emerging fear of the rapid development and sophistication of artificial intelligence appear to be on a collision course with historical models of human uniqueness and individuality.
技术变革对安全的影响
研究目的:分析的目的是评估技术变革对社会经济和军事安全的影响。这项研究的本质是展示在公共(政治、经济、社会)和军事空间使用新技术所带来的机会和威胁。方法学:本文采用文献批判性分析和非控制观察法。在分析新技术在安全领域的使用和影响时,出现了以下关键问题:新技术会给军备控制带来问题吗?一种新武器或其使用会引发军备竞赛吗?新技术会给人类和环境带来问题吗?事实上,技术变革对安全既有积极的影响,也有消极的影响。最重要的是,认识到不使用新技术和使用它一样危险,这一点很重要。经济发展、文明进步、社会进步都是如此。在军事领域,将核武库的控制权委托给被赋予自主决策能力的计算机系统似乎是最危险的。研究的应用:基于当今安全环境中出现的主要变量的安全预测。研究的原创性/新颖性:研究的主题是非常时代性的,我们都参与识别问题。新技术的使用一方面有助于提高安全效率,但另一方面也会带来恐惧和不安。对人工智能的快速发展和复杂性的恐惧似乎与人类独特性和个性的历史模型发生了冲突。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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