Classification and Predictive Analysis of the Stocks Listed with NIFTY50

K. Jain, Neeti Mathur
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Abstract

Indian stock market has its prominent position in the globe. In 2018, the healthy economic growth in India has supported its stock market and become one of the largest stock market in the world. India's ascent reflects the growing blow of emerging markets. It also indicates its economy is positioned for sustained growth, even if the manufacturing sector is not firing on all cylinders. SENSEX and NIFTY are considered as the barometers of Indian stock market. Approximately 1600 companies are listed on National Stock Exchange of India Ltd. (NSE), from which fifty companies are listed with the prestigious index NIFTY50.The NIFTY50, is the leading index on the NSE, which is commonly known as NIFTY. It is derived from economic research and is created for the interest of investors, who wants to invest and trade in Indian equities. The NIFTY 50 stocks comprises of leading Indian companies from various sectors. The stocks of listed companies are relatively less volatile and offer a rather steady return. The NIFTY 50 covers major sectors of the Indian economy and offers great exposure to the investment managers to Indian stock market in one's competent portfolio. The companies listed with NIFTY50, show significantly diversified behavior with respect to their price movements. Thus, the risk and returns associated with the stocks found to be wide-ranging in nature. Also, the range of the beta factors of these stocks is significantly varied. The present study is an attempt to analysis the fifty stocks of NIFTY50 based on the returns offered by the stocks, risk associated with these stocks and their respective beta factors. The weekly data of past years have been collected and used to calculate the returns, risk and beta factors associated with the fifty stocks listed in NIFTY50. Using cluster analysis, the fifty stocks of NIFTY50 are classified into segments based on their respective returns, risk and beta values. Further for each segment, a predictive model for returns is Proposed.
NIFTY50成分股的分类与预测分析
印度股市在全球占有突出的地位。2018年,印度经济的健康增长支撑了其股市,成为全球最大的股市之一。印度的崛起反映了新兴市场日益增长的冲击。这也表明,中国经济处于持续增长的状态,即使制造业并没有开足马力。SENSEX和NIFTY被认为是印度股市的晴雨表。大约有1600家公司在印度国家证券交易所有限公司(NSE)上市,其中50家公司以著名的NIFTY50指数上市。NIFTY50是NSE的领先指数,通常被称为NIFTY。它来源于经济研究,是为了那些想要投资和交易印度股票的投资者的利益而创建的。NIFTY 50股票由来自不同行业的领先印度公司组成。上市公司的股票波动相对较小,提供相当稳定的回报。NIFTY 50涵盖了印度经济的主要部门,并为投资经理提供了大量的印度股票市场投资组合。在NIFTY50指数上市的公司,其价格走势表现出显著的多样化。因此,与股票相关的风险和回报在本质上是广泛的。此外,这些股票的β因子的范围变化很大。本研究试图根据股票的收益、与这些股票相关的风险以及它们各自的beta因子来分析NIFTY50的50只股票。收集了过去几年的每周数据,并用于计算与NIFTY50中列出的50只股票相关的收益,风险和beta因子。通过聚类分析,将NIFTY50指数的50只股票根据各自的收益、风险和贝塔值进行分类。针对每个细分市场,提出了收益预测模型。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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