Revenue Prediction Using Artificial Neural Network

Christine Sanjaya, M. Liana, Agus Widodo
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引用次数: 4

Abstract

Predicting revenue from tenants for an enterprise having several malls cannot be easily done using conventional approach, such as spreadsheet or manual calculations. Such an enterprise has abundant data yet inadequate resources to analyze such data. This paper presents the data mining method, namely the Artificial Neural Network (ANN), to predict the revenue based on the previous data. ANN can help the enterprise by extracting the patterns formed in previous years, so that rental income can be predicted more accurately. The research was conducted based on the following phases: business and data understanding, data preparation, modeling, evaluation and deployment. Primary data were collected based on direct interviews with the management of the enterprise. The analysis was done by conducting training on the previous data to build a neural network model. Then the model is used to make predictions on rental income in subsequent years. The results showed that this model has yielded a much smaller total error value than that of previous calculation. Thus, it can be concluded that ANN can generate rental income predictions more accurate so that it can assist the enterprise in making strategic decisions based on hidden information from existing data.
基于人工神经网络的收益预测
对于拥有多个购物中心的企业来说,使用电子表格或人工计算等传统方法很难预测租户的收入。这样的企业拥有丰富的数据,却没有足够的资源来分析这些数据。本文提出了一种数据挖掘方法,即人工神经网络(ANN),基于之前的数据来预测收益。人工神经网络可以通过提取前几年形成的模式来帮助企业,从而更准确地预测租金收入。该研究基于以下阶段进行:业务和数据理解、数据准备、建模、评估和部署。主要数据的收集是基于对企业管理层的直接访谈。通过对之前的数据进行训练,建立神经网络模型来进行分析。然后使用该模型对后续年份的租金收入进行预测。结果表明,该模型得到的总误差值比以往的计算结果小得多。由此可以得出结论,人工神经网络可以更准确地预测租金收入,从而帮助企业根据现有数据中的隐藏信息做出战略决策。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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