Economy of Belarus under Conditions of Political Instability

A. Shurubovich
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Abstract

The article examines development of economic situation in Belarus in the period of political instability connected with the presidential elections on August 9, 2020 and mass protests against supposed falsification of their results. Condition of the Byelorussian economy on the eve of political crisis is presented including major directions of influence of this crisis on the economy; growth of financial instability, strikes at enterprises, skilled personnel drain, sanction pressure on the part of the West. It is shown that the political crisis in the RB, despite many forecasts, has not provoked so far an economic chock in the country, but in a long-term perspective it may have serious negative consequences. Therefore achievement of high economic indices projected by the country’s leadership in the near future seems highly problematic.
政治动荡条件下的白俄罗斯经济
本文考察了白俄罗斯在2020年8月9日总统选举和大规模抗议选举结果伪造的政治不稳定时期的经济形势发展。介绍了政治危机前夕的白俄罗斯经济状况,包括这次危机对经济影响的主要方向;金融不稳定、企业罢工、技术人员流失、西方制裁压力。这表明,尽管有许多预测,RB的政治危机迄今尚未引发该国的经济堵塞,但从长远来看,它可能会产生严重的负面后果。因此,在不久的将来实现国家领导层所预测的高经济指标似乎是非常困难的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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