’Belarus – a significant chess piece on the chessboard of regional security

Piotr Piss
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引用次数: 2

Abstract

Abstract Belarus is often considered as ‘the last authoritarian state in Europe’ or the ‘last Soviet Republic’. Belarusian policies are not a popular research topic. Over the past years, the country has made headlines mostly as a regime violating human rights. Since the Russian aggression on Ukraine, Belarus has been getting renewed attention. Minsk was the scene of a series of talks that aim at stopping the ongoing war in Ukraine. Western media, scholars and society got a reminder that Eastern Europe was not a conflict-free zone. This article puts military security policy of Belarus into perspective by showing that Belarus ‘per se’ is not a threat for neighboring countries; Belarus dependency towards Russia is huge; thus, Minsk has a small capability to run its own independent security policy; military potential of Belarus is significant in the region, but gap in equipment and training between NATO and Belarus is really more; it is in the interest of Western countries to keep the Lukashenko’s regime in Belarus.
白俄罗斯——地区安全棋盘上的一枚重要棋子
白俄罗斯通常被认为是“欧洲最后一个专制国家”或“最后一个苏维埃共和国”。白俄罗斯政策不是一个受欢迎的研究课题。在过去的几年里,这个国家主要作为一个侵犯人权的政权而成为头条新闻。自从俄罗斯入侵乌克兰以来,白俄罗斯再次受到关注。在明斯克举行了一系列旨在停止乌克兰正在进行的战争的会谈。西方媒体、学者和社会都得到了提醒,东欧并不是一个没有冲突的地区。这篇文章通过表明白俄罗斯“本身”并不对邻国构成威胁来透视白俄罗斯的军事安全政策;白俄罗斯对俄罗斯的依赖很大;因此,明斯克没有多少能力执行自己独立的安全政策;白俄罗斯的军事潜力在该地区是巨大的,但在装备和训练方面,北约与白俄罗斯的差距确实更大;将卢卡申科政权留在白俄罗斯符合西方国家的利益。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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