The Generalized Stochastic Preference Choice Model

Gerardo Berbeglia
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引用次数: 15

Abstract

We propose a new discrete choice model that generalizes the random utility model (RUM). We show that this model, called the \emph{Generalized Stochastic Preference} (GSP) model can explain several choice phenomena that can't be represented by a RUM. In particular, the model can easily (and also exactly) replicate some well known examples that are not RUM, as well as controlled choice experiments carried since 1980's that possess strong regularity violations. One such regularity violation is the \emph{decoy effect} in which the probability of choosing a product increases when a similar, but inferior product is added to the choice set. An appealing feature of the GSP is that it is non-parametric and therefore it has very high flexibility. The model has also a simple description and interpretation: it builds upon the well known representation of RUM as a stochastic preference, by allowing some additional consumer types to be non-rational.
广义随机偏好选择模型
我们提出了一种新的离散选择模型,推广了随机实用模型(RUM)。我们证明了这个模型,称为\emph{广义随机偏好}(GSP)模型,可以解释一些无法用RUM表示的选择现象。特别是,该模型可以很容易地(也准确地)复制一些众所周知的非RUM的例子,以及自20世纪80年代以来进行的具有强烈规律性违反的受控选择实验。其中一种违反规则的现象是\emph{诱饵效应},即当选择集中添加了类似但较差的产品时,选择该产品的概率会增加。GSP的一个吸引人的特点是它是非参数的,因此它具有非常高的灵活性。该模型也有一个简单的描述和解释:它建立在众所周知的RUM作为随机偏好的表示上,通过允许一些额外的非理性消费者类型。
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