Footsteps Toward a Gold Standard

J. Gibbons
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Abstract

The sustained rally of gold, which started in 1999 and continues unabated, naturally cries out for an explanation. The obvious place to look – recent price inflation in United States – fails however to provide the answer. We argue that the driving force is a broad trend to monetize gold internationally, a trend that would naturally lead to a renewal of a gold standard. If so, we can expect a dynamic transition as gold replaces dollars as the world monetary base. We fix then on the main features of the transition, on the advantages and disadvantages of a gold standard. Lastly, from this perspective we suggest that it would be better for the world to reformulate Bretton Woods, straightforwardly recreating its two-track approach that combined the discipline of a gold standard with the discretionary management by monetary authorities, a modern Friedmanite combination.
迈向金本位的脚步
金价从1999年开始持续上涨,至今仍有增无减,这自然需要一个解释。然而,显而易见的地方——美国最近的物价上涨——并不能提供答案。我们认为,驱动力是国际上将黄金货币化的广泛趋势,这一趋势自然会导致金本位的复兴。如果是这样,我们可以预期,随着黄金取代美元成为世界基础货币,将出现一场动态的转变。接下来,我们将讨论过渡的主要特点,以及金本位制的优缺点。最后,从这个角度来看,我们建议,世界最好重新制定布雷顿森林体系,直接重建其双轨方法,将金本位的纪律与货币当局的自由裁量管理结合起来,这是一种现代弗里德曼式的组合。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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