{"title":"How Long is Going to Take a Full Economic Recovery of the World Economy from COVID-19?","authors":"Mario Arturo Ruiz Estrada","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3660714","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"This research attempts to evaluate how long the world economy takes for its economic recovery from the Post-COVID-19 period under the application of two new indicators called \"COVID-19 Waves Oscillations (µ) and COVID-19 Openness Behaviour (ϔ).\" The main objective is to evaluate the world economy recovery time framework from COVID-19, respectively. Firstly, the calculation of COVID-19 waves oscillation requests a holistic mathematical approach under the creation of a simple formula. This formula uses the interval of COVID-19 cases daily to elaborate a series of waves from Nano-Waves until Mega-Waves. At the same time, we will demonstrate how the COVID-19 waves oscillation can significantly impact COVID-19 openness behaviour (full business and financial activities reactivation in a month). Finally, we can elaborate on many simulations to evaluate how long it can take the world economy to full economic recovery from COVID-19.","PeriodicalId":448796,"journal":{"name":"Universidad Icesi - School of Management & Economics Research Paper Series","volume":"8 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2020-07-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Universidad Icesi - School of Management & Economics Research Paper Series","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3660714","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
This research attempts to evaluate how long the world economy takes for its economic recovery from the Post-COVID-19 period under the application of two new indicators called "COVID-19 Waves Oscillations (µ) and COVID-19 Openness Behaviour (ϔ)." The main objective is to evaluate the world economy recovery time framework from COVID-19, respectively. Firstly, the calculation of COVID-19 waves oscillation requests a holistic mathematical approach under the creation of a simple formula. This formula uses the interval of COVID-19 cases daily to elaborate a series of waves from Nano-Waves until Mega-Waves. At the same time, we will demonstrate how the COVID-19 waves oscillation can significantly impact COVID-19 openness behaviour (full business and financial activities reactivation in a month). Finally, we can elaborate on many simulations to evaluate how long it can take the world economy to full economic recovery from COVID-19.