Financial Development and Economic Growth: Long‐Run Equilibrium and Transitional Dynamics

A. Bucci, Simone Marsiglio
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引用次数: 27

Abstract

We analyze the impact of financial development on economic growth. Differently from previous studies that focus mainly on balanced growth path outcomes, we also analyze the transitional dynamics of our model economy by using a finance-extended Uzawa-Lucas framework where financial intermediation affects both human and physical capital accumulation. We show that, under certain rather general conditions, economic growth may turn out to be non-monotonically related to financial development (as suggested by the most recent empirical evidence) and that too much finance may be detrimental to growth. We also show that the degree of financial development may affect the speed of convergence, suggesting thus that finance may play a crucial role in determining the length of the recovery process associated with exogenous shocks. Moreover, in a special case of the model, we observe that, under a realistic set of parameters, social welfare decreases with financial development, meaning that even when finance positively affects economic growth the short term costs associated with financial activities more than compensate their long run benefits.
金融发展与经济增长:长期均衡与过渡动态
我们分析了金融发展对经济增长的影响。与以往主要关注平衡增长路径结果的研究不同,我们还使用金融扩展的Uzawa-Lucas框架分析了我们的模型经济的过渡动态,其中金融中介影响人力资本和物质资本积累。我们表明,在某些相当一般的条件下,经济增长可能与金融发展呈非单调相关(正如最近的经验证据所表明的那样),过多的金融可能不利于增长。我们还表明,金融发展程度可能会影响趋同的速度,这表明金融可能在决定与外生冲击相关的复苏过程的长度方面发挥关键作用。此外,在模型的一个特殊情况下,我们观察到,在一组现实参数下,社会福利随着金融发展而下降,这意味着即使金融对经济增长产生积极影响,与金融活动相关的短期成本也会超过其长期收益。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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