Demographic change and innovation: The ongoing challenge from the diversity of the labor force

Doreen Richter
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引用次数: 6

Abstract

1. Demographie change: A cause for increasing organizational diversity and a challenge for regional innovation capacityThe demographic change is altering the composition of Germany's population which affects many social, political and economic systems. The demographic transition and the following demographic change are discussed in science since the 1940s. The public and the research interest in demographic issues have grown steadily and the science in 2013 was characterized by research on the topic of demographic change as clearly as never. The Year of Science of the German Ministry of Education and Research (BMBF) run under the motto "The demographic opportunity". In this sense the funding of research and development (RD Friedrich & Schlomer, 2013) and is composed of a plurality of sub-dynamics that proceed at different speeds and with different socio-economic impacts. In general, the multiple consequences are summarized as population aging, population decline and an increasing population diversity (Friedrich & Schlomer, 2013). Those consequences are influenced by moderating variables such as the current age structure, the amount of inward and outward migration (Tivig & Kuhntopf, 2009) and far-reaching social developments (Friedrich & Schlomer, 2013). The demographic impact of the political division and reunification of Germany, for example, still superimposes today's natural population movements1 (Friedrich & Schlomer, 2013).The aging is evident in shifts in the age structure of the population. 2060 one in three people will be older than 65, and every seventh person will be 80 years or older. This is a consequence of the baby-boom generation which is followed by a transition to low birth rates (Statistisches Bundesamt, 2009). Referring to the population decline there is - despite the registration of population growth in some German regions, due to positive natural population movements and/or migration gains - a significant de- crease in population assumed for the entire population in the long term. The Federal Statistical Office calculates in advance a population between 65 and 70 million in 2060 (Statistisches Bundesamt, 2009). Most affected are the New Federal States whose population development is negative since 1989 (Statistisches Bundesamt (Destatis), 2013). This means that German companies have to deal with the requirements of older workforces and an increasing competition for the declining number of available professionals. In case of the increasing heterogeneity of the population the diversity of cultural backgrounds is going to rise in two ways. On the one hand, the share of immigrants and their descendants of the total population is rising2. On the other hand, the range of countries of origin of the immigrants is growing compared to the 1960s and 1970s, in which most immigrants came as guest workers from southern Europe and Turkey. …
人口变化与创新:劳动力多样性带来的持续挑战
1. 人口变化:增加组织多样性的原因和对区域创新能力的挑战人口变化正在改变德国人口的构成,影响许多社会,政治和经济制度。自20世纪40年代以来,科学上讨论了人口转型和随后的人口变化。公众和研究对人口问题的兴趣稳步增长,2013年科学的特点是对人口变化主题的研究前所未有地清晰。德国教育和研究部(BMBF)的科学年的口号是“人口机遇”。从这个意义上说,研究和开发的资金(RD Friedrich & Schlomer, 2013)由多个以不同速度进行并具有不同社会经济影响的子动态组成。总的来说,多重后果被总结为人口老龄化、人口下降和人口多样性增加(Friedrich & Schlomer, 2013)。这些后果受到调节变量的影响,如当前的年龄结构、向内和向外迁移的数量(Tivig & Kuhntopf, 2009)和深远的社会发展(Friedrich & Schlomer, 2013)。例如,德国政治分裂和统一的人口影响仍然叠加着今天的自然人口流动1 (Friedrich & Schlomer, 2013)。老龄化在人口年龄结构的变化中表现得很明显。2060年,三分之一的人将超过65岁,七分之一的人将超过80岁。这是婴儿潮一代的结果,随后是低出生率的过渡(联邦统计局,2009年)。关于人口减少问题,尽管由于积极的自然人口流动和(或)移徙收益,德国一些地区的人口有所增长,但从长远来看,假定整个人口的人口数量显著减少。联邦统计局提前计算出2060年的人口在6500万到7000万之间(Statistisches Bundesamt, 2009)。受影响最大的是自1989年以来人口发展为负的新联邦州(Statistisches Bundesamt (Destatis), 2013)。这意味着德国企业必须应对老年劳动力的需求,以及对日益减少的专业人才的日益激烈的竞争。在人口异质性日益增加的情况下,文化背景的多样性将以两种方式增加。一方面,移民及其后裔占总人口的比例正在上升。另一方面,与20世纪60年代和70年代相比,移民原籍国的范围正在扩大,当时大多数移民是作为来自南欧和土耳其的客工来的。…
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