Advances and Challenges in Flash Flood Risk Assessment: A Review

K. Ali, Roshan M Bajracharyar, N. Raut
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引用次数: 23

Abstract

Flash floods are considered to be one the worst kind of hazard. They are characterized by their suddenness, rarity, small scale, heavy rain and peak discharge, unpredictable, fast and violent movement. It has severe effects on human society in the form life losses, damages to property, roads, communication and on natural settings. Advances in hydrology, meteorology, engineering, using of GIS and remote sensing still not able to increase real time forecast. Researchers from developed countries have stressed to more focus to improve very short time an effective early warning system with collaboration of local communities for flash flood risk supervision. The valid inputs from natural and social science can play a vital role in risk reduction. In the flood hazard risk assessment, the analysis of various morphometric parameters of river basins is very essential. Community based participatory flood hazard mapping provides an essential detail, such as inundation areas, depth information, evacuation centers and routes, critical facilities, communication channels, evacuation criteria, emergency kits and many other items needs for an evacuation in hazard maps. Vulnerability is based on numerous components such as internal (assesses coping capacity of people or systems) and external (exposure of people) side of vulnerability. Risk assessment consists of two main components such as hazard (related to source and pathways) and vulnerability (related to the receptor and consequences). Flood disaster-related risk has increasingly become a global concern, and its vulnerabilities related to changes in demography, socioeconomic conditions, unplanned settlements, environmental degradation, stress on natural resources and climate change.
山洪风险评估的进展与挑战
山洪暴发被认为是最严重的灾害之一。它们的特点是突发性、罕见性、规模小、暴雨和峰值放电、不可预测、运动迅速和剧烈。它以生命损失、财产损失、道路、通讯和自然环境的形式对人类社会产生严重影响。水文学、气象学、工程学的进步,GIS和遥感的应用仍然不能增加实时预报。来自发达国家的科学家强调,他们应该更多地关注通过与当地社区合作来改善非常短的时间内有效的预警系统,以进行山洪暴发风险监督。来自自然科学和社会科学的有效投入可以在减少风险方面发挥至关重要的作用。在洪水灾害风险评价中,对流域各形态参数的分析是十分必要的。基于社区的参与式洪水灾害地图提供了基本细节,如淹没区域、深度信息、疏散中心和路线、关键设施、通信渠道、疏散标准、应急包和许多其他疏散所需的物品。脆弱性是基于许多组成部分,如内部(评估人或系统的应对能力)和外部(人的暴露)方面的脆弱性。风险评估包括两个主要部分,如危害(与来源和途径有关)和脆弱性(与受体和后果有关)。与洪水灾害相关的风险日益成为全球关注的问题,其脆弱性与人口变化、社会经济条件、无计划住区、环境退化、自然资源压力和气候变化有关。
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