Polityka surowcowa wybranych krajów poradzieckich a ich konkurencyjność w handlu międzynarodowym

K. Falkowski
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Abstract

Objective : The objectives of this article are: 1) to briefly present the natural resources policies of Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan and Russia, 2) to thoroughly analyse the development of long-term comparative advantages in exports of each of these countries, 3) to determine whether their competitiveness ( ceteris paribus ) is a consequence of the natural resources policies they pursue. Research Design & Methods : It has been assumed that the emergence or significant long-term improvement of comparative advantages in exports may prove the effectiveness of the natural resources policy. To determine the international trade competitiveness (in terms of any comparative advantages possessed) of Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan and Russia, two indexes were applied: Balassa’s Revealed Comparative Advantage (RCA) Index and the Lafay Index (LFI) of international trade specialisation. Findings : The structure of long-term comparative advantages of Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan and Russia in international trade has not changed for years, nor have any new comparative advantages appeared, which would indicate an improvement in the competitiveness of their economies. Therefore, the natural resource policies they pursue further strengthens the resource-based character of their economies, thus reducing their overall international trade competitiveness. Implications  /  Recommendations : Given the present situation, it seems necessary for Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan and Russia to take specific measures not only in their natural resources policies, but also in their economic policies and development strategies, which should be pragmatically oriented towards the modernisation and development of non- -resources-based sectors (ultimately increasing their competitiveness) using the funds from exports of their energy resources. Contribution : The article contributes to the research on the importance of natural resource policy for international trade competitiveness, in particular with respect to selected post-Soviet natural resources-based economies, i.e. Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan and Russia. It verifies the research hypothesis that, given their energy resources, the natural resource policies pursued by Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan and Russia have a negative impact on the competitive profiles of their economies. Moreover, they further strengthen their resource-based character, thus reducing their overall international trade competitiveness.
目的:本文的目的是:1)简要介绍阿塞拜疆、哈萨克斯坦和俄罗斯的自然资源政策,2)深入分析这些国家出口的长期比较优势的发展,3)确定它们的竞争力(其他条件相同)是否是它们所追求的自然资源政策的结果。研究设计与方法:假设出口比较优势的出现或长期显著改善可以证明自然资源政策的有效性。为了确定阿塞拜疆、哈萨克斯坦和俄罗斯的国际贸易竞争力(就所拥有的任何比较优势而言),采用了两个指数:Balassa的显性比较优势指数(RCA)和国际贸易专业化的拉菲指数(LFI)。研究发现:阿塞拜疆、哈萨克斯坦和俄罗斯在国际贸易中的长期比较优势结构多年未发生变化,也未出现新的比较优势,表明三国经济竞争力有所提高。因此,它们奉行的自然资源政策进一步加强了它们经济的资源型特征,从而降低了它们的整体国际贸易竞争力。影响/建议:鉴于目前的情况,阿塞拜疆、哈萨克斯坦和俄罗斯似乎有必要不仅在其自然资源政策方面,而且在其经济政策和发展战略方面采取具体措施,这些政策和发展战略应务实地面向利用其能源出口的资金实现非资源部门的现代化和发展(最终提高其竞争力)。贡献:本文有助于研究自然资源政策对国际贸易竞争力的重要性,特别是对选定的后苏联自然资源导向型经济体,即阿塞拜疆、哈萨克斯坦和俄罗斯。它证实了研究假设,即鉴于其能源资源,阿塞拜疆、哈萨克斯坦和俄罗斯所奉行的自然资源政策对其经济的竞争状况产生了消极影响。此外,它们的资源型特征进一步增强,从而降低了它们的整体国际贸易竞争力。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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