EXOGENOUS DETERMINANTS OF THE ECONOMIC SECURITY OF THE COUNTRY IN CONDITIONS OF GLOBAL VOLATILITY

O. Dobryanskyy
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Abstract

The article focuses on examining specific factors that influence the economic security of countries in the face of increasing global volatility. It explores the essence of exogenous factors, such as international trade, foreign investments, and international financial markets, and their impact on the state of economic security. The analysis considers the effects of current geopolitical changes, macroeconomic shocks, and crisis situations on a country’s economic stability. The importance of developing risk management strategies and diversifying risks to maintain an appropriate level of economic security in an unpredictable global environment is emphasized. The article also highlights the significance of developing adaptation and reserve mechanisms, as well as implementing prudent risk management practices, to ensure the stability of a country’s economic system. Based on the identified determinants, several proposals are put forward regarding the need for regulatory political and economic measures that can enhance a country’s economic security in modern conditions. The constant growth of interdependence in international markets, capital mobility, and the expansion of foreign trade volumes present new challenges and threats to the economic stability of countries. Exogenous determinants, which are external factors beyond the direct control of the state, have a significant impact on economic security. The current environment of global volatility, including financial crises, trade conflicts, unpredictable changes in global commodity markets, and major shifts in the geopolitical sphere, greatly affect economic security. These factors can lead to economic disruptions, reduced production, increased unemployment and inflation, disruptions in financial stability, and generate additional threats to socio-political stability. Therefore, understanding exogenous determinants and their influence on economic security is crucial for developing effective risk management strategies and ensuring the stability of a country’s economy.
在全球动荡的条件下,国家经济安全的外生决定因素
本文侧重于研究在面对日益增加的全球波动时影响各国经济安全的具体因素。它探讨了外生因素的本质,如国际贸易、外国投资和国际金融市场,以及它们对经济安全状况的影响。该分析考虑了当前地缘政治变化、宏观经济冲击和危机局势对一国经济稳定的影响。会议强调了制定风险管理战略和分散风险以在不可预测的全球环境中保持适当水平的经济安全的重要性。这篇文章还强调了发展适应和储备机制以及实施审慎的风险管理实践的重要性,以确保一个国家经济体系的稳定。在确定的决定因素的基础上,提出了一些关于需要监管的政治和经济措施的建议,这些措施可以增强一个国家在现代条件下的经济安全。国际市场上相互依存的不断增长、资本流动和对外贸易量的扩大对各国的经济稳定构成了新的挑战和威胁。外生决定因素是国家无法直接控制的外部因素,对经济安全有重大影响。当前,金融危机、贸易冲突、全球大宗商品市场变幻莫测、地缘政治格局发生重大变化等全球动荡环境对经济安全产生重大影响。这些因素可能导致经济中断,生产减少,失业和通货膨胀增加,金融稳定中断,并对社会政治稳定产生额外威胁。因此,了解外生决定因素及其对经济安全的影响对于制定有效的风险管理策略和确保一国经济的稳定至关重要。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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