Impact of Foreign Direct Investment on Economic Growth of Pakistan

Mukhtiar Ali, I. Malik
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Abstract

This study investigates the short and long run impact of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) on Economic Growth of Pakistan. For this purpose, time series data from 1976-2015 has been collected from State Bank of Pakistan, World Bank and Economic Survey of Pakistan. Dependent variable used as Economic Growth (Gross Domestic Product Growth Rate (GDPGR) and independent variables as FDI, Gross Domestic Educational Expenditure (GDEX), Domestic Capital (KD), Openness to Trade (OPT), External Debt (EXD) and Labour Participation Rate (LPR). For stationarity of data Augmented Dickery Fuller (ADF) test was used and Auto Regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model was used to check the long-term co-integration among variables. The results of the study indicate that the FDI has significant positive impact on Economic Growth of Pakistan in short run whereas; it has insignificant negative impact on long rum at 5% significant level. Furthermore, the statistical results show that economic growth has significant impact on GDEX, OPT, EXD, KD and Insignificant impact on FDI and LPR. The significant epitome of this study is the requirement of the policy restructuring and implications by the Government of Pakistan which can be drawn from the findings of this study. Government of Pakistan should take necessary measures based on the recommendations of this study to enhance FDI and attract more investments both national and international.
外商直接投资对巴基斯坦经济增长的影响
本研究探讨了外国直接投资(FDI)对巴基斯坦经济增长的短期和长期影响。为此,从巴基斯坦国家银行、世界银行和巴基斯坦经济调查收集了1976-2015年的时间序列数据。因变量为经济增长(国内生产总值增长率(GDPGR)),自变量为FDI、国内教育总支出(GDEX)、国内资本(KD)、贸易开放度(OPT)、外债(EXD)和劳动参与率(LPR)。对于数据的平稳性,采用增强Dickery Fuller (ADF)检验,采用自回归分布滞后(ARDL)模型检验变量间的长期协整。研究结果表明,FDI在短期内对巴基斯坦经济增长具有显著的正向影响;在5%显著水平下,对长朗姆酒的负向影响不显著。此外,统计结果表明,经济增长对GDEX、OPT、EXD、KD的影响显著,对FDI和LPR的影响不显著。这项研究的重要特点是巴基斯坦政府需要进行政策改革和所涉问题,这可以从这项研究的结果中得出。巴基斯坦政府应根据本研究报告的建议采取必要措施,增加外国直接投资,吸引更多的国内和国际投资。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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