The Regional Vulnerability Assessment Model of Heat Wave Considering Heat Wave Disaster Vulnerable Groups

Yejin Na, J. Won
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Abstract

This study developed regional vulnerability assessment model of heat wave considering heat wave disaster vulnerable groups. As indicators of the vulnerability assessment model, climate exposure, sensitivity, adaptive capacity indicators were considered. As detailed indicators in sensitive, the heat wave disaster vulnerable groups were considered (Model A). In addition, the model considering general disaster vulnerable groups (Model B) as indicators in sensitive were analyzed. AHP survey was conducted to measure the relative importance and ranking of the heat wave vulnerability assessment indicators. Results showed that the farmer and obesity were recognized as highly vulnerable among sensitive indicators in Model A and female, multicultural family, and foreigner were recognized as highly vulnerable in Model B based on AHP analysis. By comparing the relationship between the damage from heat wave and the results of the vulnerability assessment, Model A showed high explanatory power in case of heat wave deaths while Model B showed high explanatory power in case of heat wave victims.
考虑热浪灾害弱势群体的区域热浪脆弱性评估模型
本研究建立了考虑热浪灾害弱势群体的区域热浪脆弱性评估模型。考虑了气候暴露度、敏感性、适应能力等指标作为脆弱性评估模型的指标。将热浪灾害弱势群体作为敏感性的详细指标(模型A),并对将一般灾害弱势群体作为敏感性指标的模型(模型B)进行分析。采用层次分析法(AHP)对热浪脆弱性评价指标的相对重要性和排名进行了测度。结果表明,在A模型中,农民和肥胖被认为是敏感指标中的高度脆弱性,在B模型中,女性、多元文化家庭和外国人被认为是高度脆弱性。通过对比热浪损害与脆弱性评估结果的关系,在热浪死亡情况下,模型A具有较高的解释力,而在热浪受害者情况下,模型B具有较高的解释力。
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