Strategic Innovation

Constantinos Markides
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Abstract

In spring 1902, Jim Penney opened his first drygoods store in Kemmerer, Wyoming, and began his attack on the big retail chains of the time, including Seats and Woolworth, which date back to 1886 and 1879, respectively. By 1940, J.C. Penney had grown to 1,586 stores and annual sales of $302 million. • In January 1936, Lever Bros., a subsidiary of Unilever, introduced a new food product in the U.S. market, a vegetable shortening called Spty. The new product went up against Procter & Gamble's established marker leader, Crisco, which had been introduced in 1912. Spry's impact was phenomenal: in a single year, it had reached half the market shate of Crisco. • In the early 1960s, Canon, a camera manuiacturer, entered the photocopier market — a field totally dominated by Xerox. By the early 1980s, having seen such formidable competitors as IBM and Kodak attack this same market without much success, Canon emerged as the market leader in unit sales. Today, it is a close second to Xerox. • In 1972, Texas Instruments, a semiconductor chip supplier, entered the calculator business — a field already occupied by Hewlen-Packard, Casio, Commodore, Sanyo, Toshiba, and Rockwell. Within five yeats, TI was the market leader. • In 1976, Apple introduced the Apple II in direct competition to IBM, Watig, and Hewlett-Packard in the professional and small business segment and Atari, Commodore, and Tandy in the home segment. Within five years, Apple had become the market leader. • In 1982, Gannett Company Inc. introduced a new newspaper into a crowded field of 1,700 dailies. By 1993, USA Today had become a top-selling newspaper with an estimated 5 million daily readers. • In 1987, Howard Schultz bought Starbucks Coffee from the original owners. In the next five years, he transformed the company from a chain of 11 stores to some 280 stores in 1993. Sale tevenues grew from $1.3 million in 1987 to $163.5 million in 1993. • In the late 1980s, Yamaha tried to revitalize its declining piano business by developing digital technology so customers could either record live performances by the pianists they'd chosen or buy such recordings on diskettes and play the same composition on their pianos. Sales in Japan have been explosive. These are certainly nice success stories, but there is more to them than that. The common theme undetpinning all these accounts is simple: the companies succeeded dramatically in attacking an established industry leader without the help of a radical technological innovation. This feat is not easy. Existing academic evidence shows that attacks on established leaders usually end up in failure — notwithstanding recent wellpublicized cases of market leaders, such as IBM and General Motors, losing big to new competitors.' A series of studies show that the probability of a firstranked firm in a particular industry surviving in first place is about 96 percent — almost a certainty.' For the second-ranked firm, the probability of survival is
战略创新
1902年春天,吉姆·彭尼在怀俄明州的凯莫勒开了他的第一家干货店,并开始向当时的大型零售连锁店发起进攻,其中包括成立于1886年和1879年的西雅斯和伍尔沃斯。到1940年,J.C. Penney已经发展到1586家门店,年销售额达到3.02亿美元。•1936年1月,联合利华(Unilever)的子公司利华兄弟(Lever Bros.)在美国市场推出了一种名为Spty的蔬菜起酥油。这款新产品的竞争对手是宝洁公司(Procter & Gamble) 1912年推出的市场领头羊Crisco。Spry的影响是惊人的:在一年的时间里,它的市场份额达到了Crisco的一半。•20世纪60年代初,相机制造商佳能(Canon)进入了复印机市场——这个领域完全由施乐(Xerox)主导。到20世纪80年代初,在看到IBM和柯达等强大的竞争对手攻击这个市场却没有取得多大成功之后,佳能成为了销量方面的市场领导者。如今,它已紧随施乐(Xerox),位居第二。•1972年,半导体芯片供应商德州仪器(Texas Instruments)进入计算器行业——这个领域已经被惠普(hewlett - packard)、卡西欧(Casio)、康懋达(Commodore)、三洋、东芝(Toshiba)和罗克韦尔(Rockwell)占据。在五年内,德州仪器成为了市场的领导者。•1976年,苹果公司推出Apple II,在专业和小型企业领域与IBM、Watig和惠普展开直接竞争,在家庭领域与雅达利、Commodore和Tandy展开直接竞争。在五年内,苹果成为了市场的领导者。•1982年,甘尼特公司(Gannett Company Inc.)在竞争激烈的1700家日报中推出了一份新报纸。到1993年,《今日美国》已经成为最畅销的报纸,据估计每天有500万读者。•1987年,霍华德·舒尔茨(Howard Schultz)从原所有者手中收购了星巴克咖啡。在接下来的五年里,他将公司从11家连锁店转变为1993年的280家连锁店。销售收入从1987年的130万美元增加到1993年的1.635亿美元。•在20世纪80年代末,雅马哈(Yamaha)试图通过开发数字技术来振兴其衰落的钢琴业务,这样客户要么可以录制他们选择的钢琴家的现场表演,要么可以购买这些录音光盘,然后在自己的钢琴上演奏相同的作品。在日本的销量呈爆炸式增长。这些当然是不错的成功故事,但它们的意义远不止于此。所有这些描述背后的共同主题很简单:这些公司在没有激进技术创新的帮助下,成功地攻击了一个老牌行业领导者。这一壮举并不容易。现有的学术证据表明,对既有领导者的攻击通常以失败告终——尽管最近IBM和通用汽车(General Motors)等市场领导者败给新竞争对手的案例被广泛报道。一系列研究表明,在某一特定行业中,排名第一的公司保持第一的概率约为96%——几乎是肯定的。”对于排名第二的公司,生存的概率是
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