ADJUSTMENT OF ECONOMIC POLICIES IN THE REPUBLIC OF MOLDOVA TO THOSE IMPLEMENTED IN NEIGHBORING EUROPEAN STATES

Marica Dumitrasco
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Abstract

The main purpose of this paper is to assess the economic vulnerabilities of the Republic of Moldova (RM) at the macro level, as well as to formulate policy proposals for sustainable economic development. The paper focuses on the analysis of time series data between the previous global crisis (2009) and that caused by the COVID-19 pandemic (2020). The paper identifies the following economic vulnerabilities of the RM, which formed during the years of independence: pro-cyclical fiscal policy, reduced public revenues, consumption-based economic model, low investment in the economy, declining labor force, exchange rate instability in crisis situations. The paper also highlights the differences between the policies of the RM compared to neighboring European countries, especially in terms of indicators of their economic stability in crisis situations. The paper identifies the following policy areas for sustainable economic development: modernizing the structure of the economy, countercyclical fiscal policy, increasing public revenues, streamlining public services, increasing public investment, developing of private pension funds, implementing public policy in the field of financial education, accelerating growth and investment in the future. In this context, the question is "what should national policies contain?" in order to ensure a sustainable development of national economy. The experience of the new EU Member States was taken into account in formulating policy proposals. If all these economic policies will be implemented in the first decade after the COVID-19 pandemic, the RM can move from a consumerbased economic model financed by loans to an investment-based and sustainable economic development one.
摩尔多瓦共和国的经济政策调整到欧洲邻国的经济政策
本文的主要目的是在宏观层面上评估摩尔多瓦共和国(RM)的经济脆弱性,并制定可持续经济发展的政策建议。本文重点分析了上一次全球危机(2009年)和2019冠状病毒病大流行(2020年)之间的时间序列数据。本文确定了RM在独立期间形成的以下经济脆弱性:顺周期财政政策,公共收入减少,以消费为基础的经济模式,经济投资低,劳动力下降,危机情况下汇率不稳定。本文还强调了RM与欧洲邻国政策之间的差异,特别是在危机情况下经济稳定性指标方面。本文确定了经济可持续发展的以下政策领域:经济结构现代化、逆周期财政政策、增加公共收入、精简公共服务、增加公共投资、发展私人养老基金、在金融教育领域实施公共政策、加速增长和未来投资。在这种背景下,问题是“国家政策应该包含什么”,以确保国民经济的可持续发展。在制定政策建议时考虑到了欧盟新成员国的经验。如果所有这些经济政策都能在2019冠状病毒病大流行后的第一个十年得到落实,新兴市场就能从以消费为基础的贷款经济模式转向以投资为基础的可持续经济发展模式。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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