Using machine learning to identify epidemic threshold in complex networks

J. Ge, M. Tang
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Abstract

Machine learning is a powerful tool for identifying the phase of matter. Usually when the phase information is fully marked, the direct application of supervised learning can successfully detect phase transitions, while the unsupervised learning method does not require any prior knowledge to distinguish phases of matter, and even discover new phases of matter. Here, we have developed a machine learning framework containing unsupervised learning ideas to identify phase transitions in the dynamics of epidemic spreading in complex networks. The framework trains the neural network so that the configuration information of the epidemic spreading dynamics can describe the effective spread rate, and the accuracy of the effective spreading rate predicted by the neural network can be used as an indicator of phase transition. Tests on a large number of synthetic networks and real networks have proved that the framework has low computational cost, high efficiency, and is suitable for complex networks of any size and topology.
利用机器学习识别复杂网络中的流行病阈值
机器学习是识别物质状态的强大工具。通常在相位信息被充分标记的情况下,直接应用监督学习可以成功地检测到相变,而非监督学习方法不需要任何先验知识来区分物质的相位,甚至可以发现物质的新相位。该框架对神经网络进行训练,使传染病传播动力学的组态信息能够描述有效传播速率,神经网络预测的有效传播速率的准确性可以作为相变的指标。在大量合成网络和真实网络上的测试表明,该框架计算成本低、效率高,适用于任何规模和拓扑的复杂网络。
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