Plant control diagnostic failure-just a matter of time?

Barry Kirwan
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引用次数: 5

Abstract

The role of time as a critical determinant of human performance, particularly the diagnostic performance that is essential in potential accident sequences in complex systems such as nuclear power plants, is reviewed. Two main questions are asked. What is the actual role of time in cognitive activity? and how dominant should time be as a performance shaping factor in the prediction of human reliability? The first question is addressed by considering major relevant psychological models for process control-type activities. The second is explored by analyzing how each of fifteen models of human reliability quantification utilize time in their predictions. These various roles of time, some dominant, some negligible, are then considered in the light of realistic accident scenarios.<>
工厂控制诊断故障-只是时间问题?
回顾了时间作为人类行为的关键决定因素的作用,特别是在核电厂等复杂系统中潜在事故序列中必不可少的诊断行为。主要有两个问题。时间在认知活动中的实际作用是什么?在预测人类可靠性的过程中,时间作为一个表现塑造因素应该占多大的主导地位?第一个问题是通过考虑过程控制类型活动的主要相关心理模型来解决的。第二个是通过分析人类可靠性量化的15个模型中的每个模型如何在其预测中利用时间来探索。时间的这些不同作用,有些占主导地位,有些可以忽略不计,然后根据现实的事故情景加以考虑。
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